Platense
vs
Águila
0 – 1 Full time
| 43′ | F. Andrada |
Platense vs Águila overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Platense vs Águila
| Probability | Platense | Draw | Águila |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.3% | 26.9% | 45.9% |
| Market | 26.2% | 28.4% | 45.5% |
| Final | 26.4% | 28.0% | 45.6% |
| Edge | +1.1% | -1.5% | +0.4% |
Why Águila
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 1.20.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Platense and Águila expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.82
Platense and Águila attack and defence ratings
Platense
Águila
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Platense vs Águila: result vs prediction
Platense 0 – 1 Águila
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Platense vs Águila markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Águila | 45.6% | 2.19 | +0.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.6% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Platense | 26.4% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Águila | 45.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.3% |
| No | 42.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Águila win | 24.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 54.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | |
| 0-1 | 8.5% |
Platense vs Águila stats
Platense and Águila recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Platense and Águila going into this match
Platense record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Águila record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
Platense vs Águila head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Platense | Águila | Primera Division | 2-0 |
| 2026-01-28 | Águila | Platense | Primera Division | 4-1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Platense | Águila | Primera Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-07-20 | Águila | Platense | Primera Division | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-23 | Platense | Águila | Primera Division | 0-1 |
| 2025-01-26 | Águila | Platense | Primera Division | 3-1 |
| 2024-10-26 | Águila | Platense | Primera Division | 2-2 |
| 2024-08-25 | Platense | Águila | Primera Division | 0-1 |
| 2024-05-01 | Platense | Águila | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2024-03-06 | Águila | Platense | Primera Division | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Platense vs Águila odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.2%, draw 28.4%, away 45.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.55 | 3.12 | 1.97 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.25 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.00 | 1.87 |
| Betano | 3.40 | 3.20 | 2.07 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.30 | 1.95 |
| Marathonbet | 3.45 | 3.12 | 1.95 |
| Pinnacle | 3.68 | 3.20 | 1.97 |
| William Hill | 3.50 | 2.90 | 2.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .