Primera Division · Full time ·Apertura - 12

Platense vs Fuerte San Francisco

0 – 0 Full time

Platense 46%
Draw 28%
Fuerte San Francisco 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Platense vs Fuerte San Francisco overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Platense vs Fuerte San Francisco

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPlatenseDrawFuerte San Francisco
Model43.3%30.3%26.4%
Market47.3%27.7%25.0%
Final46.3%28.3%25.3%
Edge-4.0%+2.6%+1.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Platense

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.33 vs 0.99.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Platense ↓ / Fuerte San Fra → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 8% 1 12% 14% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

Platense and Fuerte San Francisco expected goals

Platense 1.33
Fuerte San Francisco 0.99

Total expected goals: 2.32

Platense and Fuerte San Francisco attack and defence ratings

Platense

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Fuerte San Francisco

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Platense vs Fuerte San Francisco: result vs prediction

Platense 0 – 0 Fuerte San Francisco

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 12 fixtures

Primera Division

Before and after this match

Platense vs Fuerte San Francisco markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Platense 46.3% 2.16 -4.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59.1% 1.69 — —
Both teams to score No 52.5% 1.90 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.7% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.7% 1.76 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Platense46.3%
Draw28.3%
Fuerte San Francisco25.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540.9%
Under 2.559.1%
Both teams to scoreYes47.5%
No52.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.7%
12 (either side)71.7%
X2 (draw or away)53.7%
Handicap -1Platense win20.8%
Push (exactly one goal)22.5%
Loss56.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
1-011.8%
0-011.1%

Platense vs Fuerte San Francisco stats

Platense and Fuerte San Francisco recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Platense and Fuerte San Francisco going into this match

league record before kick-off

Platense record

  • They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.

Fuerte San Francisco record

  • They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.

Platense vs Fuerte San Francisco head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Platense wins 8Draws 1Fuerte San Francisco wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-26Fuerte San FranciscoPlatensePrimera Division1-1
2026-04-21Fuerte San FranciscoPlatenseCopa Presidente1-0
2026-04-15Fuerte San FranciscoPlatensePrimera Division1-1
2026-04-09PlatenseFuerte San FranciscoCopa Presidente1-1
2026-02-18PlatenseFuerte San FranciscoPrimera Division1-1
2025-11-01Fuerte San FranciscoPlatensePrimera Division0-0
2025-08-31PlatenseFuerte San FranciscoPrimera Division1-1
2025-03-30PlatenseFuerte San FranciscoPrimera Division2-2
2025-02-02Fuerte San FranciscoPlatensePrimera Division0-2
2024-10-13Fuerte San FranciscoPlatensePrimera Division1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Platense vs Fuerte San Francisco odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.3%, draw 27.7%, away 25.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.89 3.20 3.74
Bet365 1.90 3.40 3.50
BetVictor 1.80 3.00 3.20
Betano 1.98 3.25 3.60
Betfair 1.90 3.30 3.60
Marathonbet 1.87 3.20 3.64
Pinnacle 1.93 3.29 3.68
William Hill 1.91 3.25 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.90 ▼ -0.04
X 3.25 ▲ +0.08
2 3.60 ▼ -0.11

4 snapshots recorded, from .