Fuerte San Francisco
vs
Firpo
0 – 3 Full time
| 7′ | W. Y. Arizala Dajomes | ||
| 30′ | W. Rugama | ||
| 89′ | J. Valencia | ||
| 90′ | D. Guevara |
Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo
| Probability | Fuerte San Francisco | Draw | Firpo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 10.3% | 25.5% | 64.2% |
| Market | 16.8% | 24.9% | 58.3% |
| Final | 15.2% | 25.0% | 59.8% |
| Edge | -6.6% | +0.6% | +5.9% |
Why Firpo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 0.52.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Firpo below the model: +5.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fuerte San Francisco and Firpo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.17
Fuerte San Francisco and Firpo attack and defence ratings
Fuerte San Francisco
Firpo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo: result vs prediction
Fuerte San Francisco 0 – 3 Firpo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Firpo | 59.8% | 1.67 | +5.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Firpo win | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fuerte San Francisco | 15.2% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| Firpo | 59.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.6% |
| No | 66.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 40.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Firpo win | 37.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.2% | |
| Loss | 35.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 17.9% |
| 0-2 | 15.6% | |
| 0-0 | 12.4% |
Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo stats
Fuerte San Francisco and Firpo recent form
| Fuerte San Francisco |
DDLLLL |
| Firpo |
WDWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fuerte San Francisco and Firpo going into this match
Fuerte San Francisco record
- They have won 1 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.
Firpo record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 11 matches.
Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Firpo | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 4-0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Fuerte San Francisco | Firpo | Primera Division | 0-2 |
| 2026-02-08 | Firpo | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Fuerte San Francisco | Firpo | Primera Division | 1-4 |
| 2025-08-17 | Firpo | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 3-0 |
| 2025-05-11 | Firpo | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-08 | Fuerte San Francisco | Firpo | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Fuerte San Francisco | Firpo | Primera Division | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-16 | Firpo | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-03 | Fuerte San Francisco | Firpo | Primera Division | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 16.8%, draw 24.9%, away 58.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.80 | 4.14 | 1.57 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 3.60 | 1.60 |
| BetVictor | 4.80 | 3.25 | 1.45 |
| Betano | 5.40 | 3.70 | 1.57 |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 3.80 | 1.50 |
| Marathonbet | 5.80 | 3.64 | 1.48 |
| Pinnacle | 5.44 | 3.71 | 1.56 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 3.60 | 1.57 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .