Alianza
vs
Firpo
2 – 2 Full time
| 31′ | M. Mier | ||
| 38′ | N. Diaz | ||
| 79′ | J. Valencia | ||
| 90′ | E. A. Rivas Linares | ||
| 90′ | M. E. Gonzalez | ||
| 90′ | M. E. Gonzalez |
Alianza vs Firpo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Alianza vs Firpo
| Probability | Alianza | Draw | Firpo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.4% | 26.0% | 56.6% |
| Market | 34.8% | 29.7% | 35.5% |
| Final | 30.5% | 28.8% | 40.8% |
| Edge | -17.4% | -3.7% | +21.1% |
Why Firpo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 0.86.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Firpo below the model: +21.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Alianza and Firpo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.56
Alianza and Firpo attack and defence ratings
Alianza
Firpo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Alianza vs Firpo: result vs prediction
Alianza 2 – 2 Firpo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Alianza vs Firpo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Firpo | 40.8% | 2.45 | +21.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.8% | 2.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alianza | 30.5% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Firpo | 40.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.2% |
| No | 51.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Firpo win | 31.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.3% | |
| Loss | 43.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 0-1 | 12.0% | |
| 0-2 | 11.3% |
Alianza vs Firpo stats
Alianza and Firpo recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Alianza and Firpo going into this match
Alianza record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
Firpo record
- They have won 7 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 12 matches.
Alianza vs Firpo head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Firpo | Alianza | Primera Division | 2-1 |
| 2026-01-25 | Alianza | Firpo | Primera Division | 2-3 |
| 2025-12-21 | Firpo | Alianza | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Firpo | Alianza | Primera Division | 0-5 |
| 2025-07-27 | Alianza | Firpo | Primera Division | 3-3 |
| 2025-04-10 | Firpo | Alianza | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2025-02-13 | Alianza | Firpo | Primera Division | 2-1 |
| 2024-10-13 | Firpo | Alianza | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2024-09-26 | Alianza | Firpo | Primera Division | 3-0 |
| 2024-08-14 | Alianza | Firpo | CONCACAF Central American Cup | 5-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Alianza vs Firpo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.8%, draw 29.7%, away 35.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.65 | 3.48 | 2.58 |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 2.80 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 2.62 | 3.10 | 2.60 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 3.25 | 2.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.60 | 2.92 | 2.53 |
| Pinnacle | 2.61 | 3.01 | 2.66 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 2.80 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .