Platense
vs
Municipal Limeño
2 – 1 Full time
| 25′ | J. Martinez | ||
| 45′ | C. Bogota | ||
| 64′ | N. Bello | ||
| 66′ | L. Tobar |
Platense vs Municipal Limeño overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Platense vs Municipal Limeño
| Probability | Platense | Draw | Municipal Limeño |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.2% | 29.6% | 43.2% |
| Market | 31.0% | 28.5% | 40.6% |
| Final | 30.0% | 28.8% | 41.2% |
| Edge | -3.8% | +1.1% | +2.6% |
Why Municipal Limeño
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.38 vs 1.04.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Municipal Limeño below the model: +2.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Platense and Municipal Limeño expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.42
Platense and Municipal Limeño attack and defence ratings
Platense
Municipal Limeño
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Platense vs Municipal Limeño: result vs prediction
Platense 2 – 1 Municipal Limeño
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Platense vs Municipal Limeño markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Municipal Limeño | 41.2% | 2.43 | +2.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Platense | 30.0% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Municipal Limeño | 41.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.7% |
| No | 50.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Municipal Limeño win | 21.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 56.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 0-1 | 10.9% | |
| 0-0 | 10.2% |
Platense vs Municipal Limeño stats
Platense and Municipal Limeño recent form
| Platense |
LDLLLW |
| Municipal Limeño |
LLLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Platense and Municipal Limeño going into this match
Platense record
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
Municipal Limeño record
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Platense vs Municipal Limeño head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Municipal Limeño | Platense | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-19 | Municipal Limeño | Platense | Primera Division | 2-0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Platense | Municipal Limeño | Copa Presidente | 1-2 |
| 2026-01-21 | Platense | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-25 | Municipal Limeño | Platense | Primera Division | 1-0 |
| 2025-07-23 | Platense | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-13 | Municipal Limeño | Platense | Primera Division | 3-2 |
| 2025-02-16 | Platense | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-10 | Municipal Limeño | Platense | Primera Division | 2-0 |
| 2024-09-08 | Platense | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Platense vs Municipal Limeño odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.0%, draw 28.5%, away 40.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.04 | 3.69 | 2.23 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 2.90 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 2.92 | 3.15 | 2.32 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.20 |
| Pinnacle | 3.00 | 3.16 | 2.26 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.10 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .