Isidro Metapán
vs
Atletico Balboa
3 – 2 Full time
| 66′ | I. Metapan | ||
| 69′ | I. Metapan | ||
| 78′ | F. Haberkorn | ||
| 87′ | Y. Tobar | ||
| 90′ | J. Diaz |
Isidro Metapán vs Atletico Balboa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Isidro Metapán vs Atletico Balboa
| Probability | Isidro Metapán | Draw | Atletico Balboa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.8% | 30.0% | 21.2% |
| Market | 62.2% | 22.8% | 15.0% |
| Final | 58.8% | 24.6% | 16.6% |
| Edge | -13.4% | +7.2% | +6.1% |
Why Isidro Metapán
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 0.83.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Isidro Metapán and Atletico Balboa expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.22
Isidro Metapán and Atletico Balboa attack and defence ratings
Isidro Metapán
Atletico Balboa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Isidro Metapán vs Atletico Balboa: result vs prediction
Isidro Metapán 3 – 2 Atletico Balboa
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Isidro Metapán vs Atletico Balboa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Isidro Metapán | 58.8% | 1.70 | -13.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Isidro Metapán | 58.8% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Atletico Balboa | 16.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.6% |
| No | 56.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Isidro Metapán win | 24.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 51.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.8% |
| 1-1 | 13.8% | |
| 0-0 | 12.1% |
Isidro Metapán vs Atletico Balboa stats
Isidro Metapán and Atletico Balboa recent form
| Isidro Metapán |
WDLWLL |
| Atletico Balboa |
LDLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Isidro Metapán and Atletico Balboa going into this match
Isidro Metapán record
- They have won 7 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
Atletico Balboa record
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 13 matches.
Isidro Metapán vs Atletico Balboa head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Atletico Balboa | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Isidro Metapán vs Atletico Balboa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 62.2%, draw 22.8%, away 15.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.45 | 4.64 | 6.85 |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 4.10 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 3.40 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.50 | 3.95 | 5.90 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.41 | 3.88 | 6.45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.43 | 3.71 | 5.46 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 3.90 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .