Águila
vs
Isidro Metapán
Garuda Lions Prediction: Águila
2 – 1 Predicted score · 7% model probability
Águila vs Isidro Metapán overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Águila vs Isidro Metapán
| Probability | Águila | Draw | Isidro Metapán |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.5% | 27.2% | 46.3% |
| Market | 41.1% | 29.7% | 29.2% |
| Final | 37.5% | 29.0% | 33.5% |
| Edge | -14.6% | -2.5% | +17.1% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Águila vs Isidro Metapán match preview
Águila faces Isidro Metapán in a Primera Division clash on October 11, 2026. According to our model, Águila has a 37% probability of winning, while Isidro Metapán stands at 34%, with a 29% chance of a draw. The expected goals for Águila is 1.16, compared to Isidro Metapán's 1.60. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Águila, with a 7% probability.
In terms of recent form, Águila has recorded a mixed performance with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last six matches. Conversely, Isidro Metapán has three wins, two losses, and one draw in their recent outings. The head-to-head record over the last seven encounters shows Águila with two wins, Isidro Metapán with three, and two matches ending in draws.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Águila and Isidro Metapán expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.76
Águila and Isidro Metapán attack and defence ratings
Águila
Isidro Metapán
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Águila vs Isidro Metapán markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Águila | 37.5% | 2.67 | -14.6% | 2.30 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Águila | 37.5% |
| Draw | 29.0% | |
| Isidro Metapán | 33.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.9% |
| No | 44.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Águila win | 11.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.5% | |
| Loss | 73.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | |
| 0-1 | 9.0% |
Águila vs Isidro Metapán stats
Águila and Isidro Metapán recent form
| Águila |
LWLWWD |
| Isidro Metapán |
WWDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Águila and Isidro Metapán season so far
Águila record
- They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
Isidro Metapán record
- They have won 7 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
Águila vs Isidro Metapán head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Isidro Metapán | Águila | Primera Division | 2-1 |
| 2026-03-18 | Águila | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2026-01-22 | Isidro Metapán | Águila | Primera Division | 4-2 |
| 2025-11-30 | Isidro Metapán | Águila | Primera Division | 0-2 |
| 2025-11-23 | Águila | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-25 | Águila | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division | 1-2 |
| 2025-07-24 | Isidro Metapán | Águila | Primera Division | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Águila vs Isidro Metapán odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.1%, draw 29.7%, away 29.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.19 | 3.00 | 3.14 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.05 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.25 | 3.05 | 3.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.17 | 3.00 | 3.05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.22 | 3.09 | 3.16 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 2.90 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .