Garuda Lions
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Primera Division · Full time ·Apertura - 15

Águila vs Isidro Metapán

3 – 0 Full time

44′Águila
90′B. Cea
90′E. Cruz
Águila 38%
Draw 29%
Isidro Metapán 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Águila vs Isidro Metapán overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Águila vs Isidro Metapán

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityÁguilaDrawIsidro Metapán
Model26.3%27.2%46.5%
Market41.9%29.4%28.7%
Final38.0%28.9%33.1%
Edge-3.9%-0.6%+4.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Águila ↓ / Isidro Metapán → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 8% 1 8% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Águila and Isidro Metapán expected goals

Águila 1.31
Isidro Metapán 1.37

Total expected goals: 2.68

Águila and Isidro Metapán attack and defence ratings

Águila

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Isidro Metapán

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Águila vs Isidro Metapán: result vs prediction

Águila 3 – 0 Isidro Metapán

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 15 fixtures

Primera Division

Before and after this match

Águila vs Isidro Metapán markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Águila 38.0% 2.63 -3.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.9% 1.93 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.7% 1.79 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.1% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.5% 1.53 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Águila38.0%
Draw28.9%
Isidro Metapán33.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.9%
Under 2.548.1%
Both teams to scoreYes55.7%
No44.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.9%
12 (either side)71.1%
X2 (draw or away)62.0%
Handicap -1Águila win15.9%
Push (exactly one goal)18.6%
Loss65.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.9%
1-29.4%
0-19.0%

Águila vs Isidro Metapán stats

Águila and Isidro Metapán recent form

newest first
Águila WWLWWD
Isidro Metapán WWDWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Águila and Isidro Metapán going into this match

league record before kick-off

Águila record

  • They have won 5 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 14 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.

Isidro Metapán record

  • They have won 8 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 13 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.

Águila vs Isidro Metapán head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Águila wins 3Draws 4Isidro Metapán wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-08Isidro MetapánÁguilaPrimera Division2-1
2026-03-18ÁguilaIsidro MetapánPrimera Division1-1
2026-01-22Isidro MetapánÁguilaPrimera Division4-2
2025-11-30Isidro MetapánÁguilaPrimera Division0-2
2025-11-23ÁguilaIsidro MetapánPrimera Division2-1
2025-09-25ÁguilaIsidro MetapánPrimera Division1-2
2025-07-24Isidro MetapánÁguilaPrimera Division0-0
2025-04-24Isidro MetapánÁguilaPrimera Division2-2
2025-02-26ÁguilaIsidro MetapánPrimera Division2-0
2024-10-05ÁguilaIsidro MetapánPrimera Division1-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Águila vs Isidro Metapán odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.9%, draw 29.4%, away 28.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.17 3.04 3.14
Bet365 2.05 3.20 3.10
BetVictor 2.00 2.80 2.88
Betano 2.18 3.20 3.15
Betfair 2.15 3.10 3.10
Dafabet 2.15 3.30 3.20
Marathonbet 2.15 3.04 3.05
Pinnacle 2.21 3.06 3.14
William Hill 2.20 2.90 3.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▼ -0.15
X 3.06 ▼ -0.08
2 3.14 ▲ +0.38

8 snapshots recorded, from .