Fuerte San Francisco
vs
Cacahuatique
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cacahuatique
0 – 1 Predicted score · 14% model probability
Fuerte San Francisco vs Cacahuatique overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fuerte San Francisco vs Cacahuatique
| Probability | Fuerte San Francisco | Draw | Cacahuatique |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.4% | 29.8% | 49.8% |
| Market | 34.5% | 30.5% | 35.0% |
| Final | 31.0% | 30.3% | 38.7% |
| Edge | -14.1% | -0.7% | +14.8% |
Why Cacahuatique
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 0.81.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Cacahuatique below the model: +14.8 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.65, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Fuerte San Francisco vs Cacahuatique match preview
Fuerte San Francisco faces Cacahuatique in the Primera Division with a kickoff scheduled for October 10, 2026. The model indicates a 20% probability of a win for Fuerte San Francisco, while Cacahuatique holds a stronger 51% chance of victory, with a 29% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals suggest Fuerte San Francisco may struggle to find the net, with a projection of 0.82 compared to Cacahuatique's 1.45.
Recent form shows Fuerte San Francisco has not won in their last six matches, recording five losses and a draw. In contrast, Cacahuatique has won two of their last six games, with one draw and three losses. Historically, in their last five encounters, Fuerte San Francisco has secured one win, while Cacahuatique has two wins and there have been two draws.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fuerte San Francisco and Cacahuatique expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.22
Fuerte San Francisco and Cacahuatique attack and defence ratings
Fuerte San Francisco
Cacahuatique
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fuerte San Francisco vs Cacahuatique markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cacahuatique | 38.7% | 2.58 | +14.8% | 2.65 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fuerte San Francisco | 31.0% |
| Draw | 30.3% | |
| Cacahuatique | 38.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.1% |
| No | 56.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cacahuatique win | 25.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.7% | |
| Loss | 50.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 14.1% |
| 1-1 | 13.7% | |
| 0-0 | 12.2% |
Fuerte San Francisco vs Cacahuatique stats
Fuerte San Francisco and Cacahuatique recent form
| Fuerte San Francisco |
DLDDLL |
| Cacahuatique |
WWLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fuerte San Francisco and Cacahuatique season so far
Fuerte San Francisco record
- They have won 1 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 14 matches.
Cacahuatique record
- They have won 2 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 14 matches.
Fuerte San Francisco vs Cacahuatique head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Cacahuatique | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Fuerte San Francisco | Cacahuatique | Primera Division | 0-1 |
| 2026-02-01 | Cacahuatique | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Fuerte San Francisco | Cacahuatique | Primera Division | 1-3 |
| 2025-08-03 | Cacahuatique | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 0-2 |
| 2025-03-26 | Fuerte San Francisco | Cacahuatique | Primera Division | 0-1 |
| 2025-01-29 | Cacahuatique | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-01-11 | Fuerte San Francisco | Cacahuatique | Friendlies Clubs | 3-2 |
| 2024-10-27 | Fuerte San Francisco | Cacahuatique | Primera Division | 0-1 |
| 2024-08-24 | Cacahuatique | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fuerte San Francisco vs Cacahuatique odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.5%, draw 30.5%, away 35.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.61 | 2.93 | 2.51 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.65 | 3.00 | 2.62 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.10 | 2.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.65 | 3.05 | 2.65 |
| Marathonbet | 2.61 | 2.93 | 2.51 |
| Pinnacle | 2.68 | 2.94 | 2.64 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 2.80 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .