Fuerte San Francisco
vs
Cacahuatique
2 – 1 Full time
| 14′ | J. Gallardo | ||
| 45′ | B. Gonzalez | ||
| 70′ | J. Gallardo |
Fuerte San Francisco vs Cacahuatique overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fuerte San Francisco vs Cacahuatique
| Probability | Fuerte San Francisco | Draw | Cacahuatique |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.2% | 29.8% | 50.0% |
| Market | 34.0% | 30.4% | 35.5% |
| Final | 30.6% | 30.3% | 39.1% |
| Edge | -3.5% | -0.2% | +3.6% |
Why Cacahuatique
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Cacahuatique below our published probability: +3.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fuerte San Francisco and Cacahuatique expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.07
Fuerte San Francisco and Cacahuatique attack and defence ratings
Fuerte San Francisco
Cacahuatique
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fuerte San Francisco vs Cacahuatique: result vs prediction
Fuerte San Francisco 2 – 1 Cacahuatique
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fuerte San Francisco vs Cacahuatique markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cacahuatique | 39.1% | 2.55 | +3.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fuerte San Francisco | 30.6% |
| Draw | 30.3% | |
| Cacahuatique | 39.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.1% |
| No | 56.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cacahuatique win | 15.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 63.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 14.1% |
| 1-1 | 13.6% | |
| 0-0 | 12.2% |
Fuerte San Francisco vs Cacahuatique stats
Fuerte San Francisco and Cacahuatique recent form
| Fuerte San Francisco |
DLDDLL |
| Cacahuatique |
LWLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fuerte San Francisco and Cacahuatique going into this match
Fuerte San Francisco record
- They have won 1 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 14 matches.
Cacahuatique record
- They have won 2 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 14 matches.
Fuerte San Francisco vs Cacahuatique head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Cacahuatique | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Fuerte San Francisco | Cacahuatique | Primera Division | 0-1 |
| 2026-02-01 | Cacahuatique | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Fuerte San Francisco | Cacahuatique | Primera Division | 1-3 |
| 2025-08-03 | Cacahuatique | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 0-2 |
| 2025-03-26 | Fuerte San Francisco | Cacahuatique | Primera Division | 0-1 |
| 2025-01-29 | Cacahuatique | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-01-11 | Fuerte San Francisco | Cacahuatique | Friendlies Clubs | 3-2 |
| 2024-10-27 | Fuerte San Francisco | Cacahuatique | Primera Division | 0-1 |
| 2024-08-24 | Cacahuatique | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fuerte San Francisco vs Cacahuatique odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.0%, draw 30.4%, away 35.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.61 | 2.93 | 2.51 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.10 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 2.75 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 2.65 | 3.00 | 2.62 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.65 | 3.05 | 2.65 |
| Marathonbet | 2.61 | 2.93 | 2.51 |
| Pinnacle | 2.71 | 2.93 | 2.62 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 2.80 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .