Inter
vs
Fuerte San Francisco
1 – 1 Full time
| 51′ | J. Gallardo | ||
| 64′ | M. Hernandez |
Inter vs Fuerte San Francisco overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Inter vs Fuerte San Francisco
| Probability | Inter | Draw | Fuerte San Francisco |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.8% | 26.2% | 13.1% |
| Market | 59.6% | 23.6% | 16.7% |
| Final | 59.9% | 24.3% | 15.8% |
| Edge | +1.1% | +2.5% | -3.7% |
Why Inter
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 0.64.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Inter and Fuerte San Francisco expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.29
Inter and Fuerte San Francisco attack and defence ratings
Inter
Fuerte San Francisco
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Inter vs Fuerte San Francisco: result vs prediction
Inter 1 – 1 Fuerte San Francisco
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Inter vs Fuerte San Francisco markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter | 59.9% | 1.67 | +1.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter | 59.9% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| Fuerte San Francisco | 15.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.2% |
| No | 60.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Inter win | 34.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.2% | |
| Loss | 39.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.7% |
| 2-0 | 13.8% | |
| 1-1 | 11.8% |
Inter vs Fuerte San Francisco stats
Inter and Fuerte San Francisco recent form
| Inter |
LDDDWL |
| Fuerte San Francisco |
LDDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Inter and Fuerte San Francisco going into this match
Inter record
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Fuerte San Francisco record
- They have won 1 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 13 matches.
Inter vs Fuerte San Francisco head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Fuerte San Francisco | Inter | Primera Division | 2-2 |
| 2026-03-18 | Fuerte San Francisco | Inter | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2026-01-22 | Inter | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Fuerte San Francisco | Inter | Primera Division | 2-3 |
| 2025-07-24 | Inter | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Inter vs Fuerte San Francisco odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.6%, draw 23.6%, away 16.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.53 | 4.42 | 5.90 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 3.75 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 3.30 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.55 | 3.85 | 5.30 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.46 | 3.80 | 5.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53 | 3.79 | 5.73 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .