Primera Division · Full time ·Apertura - 14

Cacahuatique vs Águila

4 – 1 Full time

22′C. Garay
42′R. Villatoro
48′T. A. Benitez
63′R. Padilla
84′E. Umeres
90′S. Ayala
Cacahuatique 51%
Draw 26%
Águila 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Cacahuatique vs Águila overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cacahuatique vs Águila

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCacahuatiqueDrawÁguila
Model25.3%30.5%44.3%
Market59.5%23.9%16.5%
Final51.0%25.6%23.5%
Edge-34.2%+6.5%+27.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cacahuatique ↓ / Águila → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 12% 9% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 40%
No goals 12%

Cacahuatique and Águila expected goals

Cacahuatique 0.94
Águila 1.33

Total expected goals: 2.27

Cacahuatique and Águila attack and defence ratings

Cacahuatique

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Águila

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cacahuatique vs Águila: result vs prediction

Cacahuatique 4 – 1 Águila

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 14 fixtures

Primera Division

Before and after this match

Cacahuatique vs Águila markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cacahuatique 51.0% 1.96 -34.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.3% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score No 53.8% 1.86 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.5% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 74.7% 1.34 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cacahuatique51.0%
Draw25.6%
Águila23.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.7%
Under 2.560.3%
Both teams to scoreYes46.2%
No53.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.5%
12 (either side)74.4%
X2 (draw or away)49.0%
Handicap -1Cacahuatique win9.3%
Push (exactly one goal)15.9%
Loss74.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
0-112.4%
0-011.6%

Cacahuatique vs Águila stats

Cacahuatique and Águila recent form

newest first
Cacahuatique WLDLLL
Águila WLWWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cacahuatique and Águila going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cacahuatique record

  • They have won 2 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 13 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 13 matches.

Águila record

  • They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.

Cacahuatique vs Águila head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

1Cacahuatique wins 5Draws 3Águila wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-02CacahuatiqueÁguilaPrimera Division2-2
2026-04-26CacahuatiqueÁguilaPrimera Division0-0
2026-03-01ÁguilaCacahuatiquePrimera Division1-1
2025-11-09CacahuatiqueÁguilaPrimera Division1-2
2025-09-07ÁguilaCacahuatiquePrimera Division0-3
2025-03-15ÁguilaCacahuatiquePrimera Division4-2
2025-01-19CacahuatiqueÁguilaPrimera Division0-0
2024-11-03ÁguilaCacahuatiquePrimera Division3-1
2024-09-01CacahuatiqueÁguilaPrimera Division0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cacahuatique vs Águila odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 59.5%, draw 23.9%, away 16.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.54 4.31 5.95
Bet365 1.53 3.70 5.00
BetVictor 1.44 3.30 4.80
Betano 1.57 3.75 5.40
Betfair 1.44 4.00 5.50
Marathonbet 1.47 3.75 5.70
Pinnacle 1.53 3.78 5.69
William Hill 1.50 3.80 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.52 ▼ -0.03
X 3.76 ▲ +0.04
2 5.45 ▲ +0.45

4 snapshots recorded, from .