Águila
vs
Inter
2 – 1 Full time
| 70′ | E. Cruz | ||
| 89′ | D. Ceren | ||
| 90′ | T. Granitto |
Águila vs Inter overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Águila vs Inter
| Probability | Águila | Draw | Inter |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.3% | 30.6% | 42.1% |
| Market | 43.7% | 29.4% | 26.9% |
| Final | 39.6% | 29.7% | 30.7% |
| Edge | -16.4% | +1.3% | +15.2% |
Why Águila
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Águila and Inter expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.29
Águila and Inter attack and defence ratings
Águila
Inter
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Águila vs Inter: result vs prediction
Águila 2 – 1 Inter
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Águila vs Inter markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Águila | 39.6% | 2.53 | -16.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Águila | 39.6% |
| Draw | 29.7% | |
| Inter | 30.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.2% |
| No | 52.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Águila win | 10.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.8% | |
| Loss | 72.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-1 | 11.8% | |
| 0-0 | 11.4% |
Águila vs Inter stats
Águila and Inter recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Águila and Inter going into this match
Águila record
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
Inter record
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Águila vs Inter head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Inter | Águila | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Águila | Inter | Primera Division | 0-1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Inter | Águila | Primera Division | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-05 | Águila | Inter | Primera Division | 3-0 |
| 2025-09-04 | Inter | Águila | Primera Division | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Águila vs Inter odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.7%, draw 29.4%, away 26.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.08 | 3.60 | 3.44 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.10 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.04 | 3.04 | 3.30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11 | 3.05 | 3.44 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 2.90 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .