Primera Division · Full time ·Apertura - 12

Inter vs Atletico Balboa

1 – 1 Full time

38′L. E. Vasquez Guillen
85′V. Landazuri
Inter 55%
Draw 26%
Atletico Balboa 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Inter vs Atletico Balboa overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Inter vs Atletico Balboa

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityInterDrawAtletico Balboa
Model53.2%27.5%19.3%
Market55.3%25.1%19.6%
Final54.8%25.7%19.6%
Edge-2.0%+2.4%-0.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Inter

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 0.87.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Inter ↓ / Atletico Balbo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 1 12% 13% 2 11% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Inter and Atletico Balboa expected goals

Inter 1.59
Atletico Balboa 0.87

Total expected goals: 2.46

Inter and Atletico Balboa attack and defence ratings

Inter

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Atletico Balboa

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Inter vs Atletico Balboa: result vs prediction

Inter 1 – 1 Atletico Balboa

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 12 fixtures

Primera Division

Before and after this match

Inter vs Atletico Balboa markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Inter 54.8% 1.83 -2.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.5% 1.80 — —
Both teams to score No 52.6% 1.90 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.4% 1.24 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.8% 2.14 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Inter54.8%
Draw25.7%
Atletico Balboa19.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.5%
Under 2.555.5%
Both teams to scoreYes47.4%
No52.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.4%
12 (either side)74.3%
X2 (draw or away)45.2%
Handicap -1Inter win29.0%
Push (exactly one goal)24.3%
Loss46.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.0%
1-012.4%
2-010.8%

Inter vs Atletico Balboa stats

Inter and Atletico Balboa recent form

newest first
Inter DDWLWW
Atletico Balboa LWLLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Inter and Atletico Balboa going into this match

league record before kick-off

Inter record

  • They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Atletico Balboa record

  • They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.

Inter vs Atletico Balboa head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Inter wins 1Draws 0Atletico Balboa wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-25Atletico BalboaInterPrimera Division0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Inter vs Atletico Balboa odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.3%, draw 25.1%, away 19.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.51 3.60 5.94
Bet365 1.60 3.50 5.00
BetVictor 1.55 3.20 4.10
Betano 1.70 3.55 4.60
Betfair 1.65 3.75 4.40
Pinnacle 1.60 3.32 4.28

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.