Primera Division · Full time ·Apertura - 12

Isidro Metapán vs Cacahuatique

2 – 0 Full time

7′S. Guerra
90′J. Galindo
90′J. Oliva
Isidro Metapán 58%
Draw 26%
Cacahuatique 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Isidro Metapán vs Cacahuatique overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Isidro Metapán vs Cacahuatique

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityIsidro MetapánDrawCacahuatique
Model43.9%32.1%24.0%
Market62.5%23.7%13.8%
Final57.8%25.8%16.4%
Edge-18.6%+8.4%+10.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Isidro Metapán

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.23 vs 0.84.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Isidro Metapán ↓ / Cacahuatique → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 9% 1 14% 14% 2 10% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 62%
3+ goals 34%
No goals 14%

Isidro Metapán and Cacahuatique expected goals

Isidro Metapán 1.23
Cacahuatique 0.84

Total expected goals: 2.07

Isidro Metapán and Cacahuatique attack and defence ratings

Isidro Metapán

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Cacahuatique

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Isidro Metapán vs Cacahuatique: result vs prediction

Isidro Metapán 2 – 0 Cacahuatique

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 12 fixtures

Primera Division

Before and after this match

Isidro Metapán vs Cacahuatique markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Isidro Metapán 57.8% 1.73 -18.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 65.9% 1.52 — —
Both teams to score No 58.6% 1.71 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.6% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.0% 1.79 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Isidro Metapán57.8%
Draw25.8%
Cacahuatique16.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.534.1%
Under 2.565.9%
Both teams to scoreYes41.4%
No58.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.6%
12 (either side)74.2%
X2 (draw or away)42.2%
Handicap -1Isidro Metapán win20.2%
Push (exactly one goal)23.8%
Loss56.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
1-014.2%
0-014.0%

Isidro Metapán vs Cacahuatique stats

Isidro Metapán and Cacahuatique recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Isidro Metapán and Cacahuatique going into this match

league record before kick-off

Isidro Metapán record

  • They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.

Cacahuatique record

  • They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.

Isidro Metapán vs Cacahuatique head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

3Isidro Metapán wins 6Draws 0Cacahuatique wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-25CacahuatiqueIsidro MetapánPrimera Division2-4
2026-04-12Isidro MetapánCacahuatiquePrimera Division1-1
2026-02-15CacahuatiqueIsidro MetapánPrimera Division1-1
2025-10-26Isidro MetapánCacahuatiquePrimera Division0-0
2025-08-24CacahuatiqueIsidro MetapánPrimera Division2-2
2025-03-29CacahuatiqueIsidro MetapánPrimera Division0-0
2025-02-02Isidro MetapánCacahuatiquePrimera Division0-0
2024-10-30CacahuatiqueIsidro MetapánPrimera Division1-2
2024-08-29Isidro MetapánCacahuatiquePrimera Division2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Isidro Metapán vs Cacahuatique odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 62.5%, draw 23.7%, away 13.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.42 3.80 7.04
Bet365 1.48 3.80 5.75
BetVictor 1.36 3.40 5.50
Betano 1.50 3.90 6.10
Betfair 1.44 3.90 6.50
Marathonbet 1.41 3.80 6.65
Pinnacle 1.45 3.93 6.82
William Hill 1.44 3.60 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.44 ▼ -0.12
X 3.80 ▲ +0.26
2 6.50 ▲ +1.20

2 snapshots recorded, from .