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Primera Division · Full time ·Apertura - 12

Municipal Limeño vs FAS

1 – 3 Full time

48′A. Rodriguez
76′F. Espinoza
89′L. Moran
90′W. Diaz
Municipal Limeño 30%
Draw 29%
FAS 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Municipal Limeño vs FAS overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Municipal Limeño vs FAS

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMunicipal LimeñoDrawFAS
Model27.3%30.0%42.7%
Market31.4%28.9%39.8%
Final30.3%29.1%40.5%
Edge-4.1%+1.2%+2.9%

Confidence: Low

Why FAS

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.35 vs 1.03.
  • The market prices FAS below the model: +2.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Municipal Lime ↓ / FAS → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 11% 8% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

Municipal Limeño and FAS expected goals

Municipal Limeño 1.03
FAS 1.35

Total expected goals: 2.37

Municipal Limeño and FAS attack and defence ratings

Municipal Limeño

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.85 -15%

FAS

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Municipal Limeño vs FAS: result vs prediction

Municipal Limeño 1 – 3 FAS

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 12 fixtures

Primera Division

Before and after this match

Municipal Limeño vs FAS markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FAS 40.5% 2.47 +2.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.8% 1.73 — —
Both teams to score No 51.3% 1.95 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.9% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.2% 1.75 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Municipal Limeño30.3%
Draw29.1%
FAS40.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.2%
Under 2.557.8%
Both teams to scoreYes48.7%
No51.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.5%
12 (either side)70.9%
X2 (draw or away)69.7%
Handicap -1FAS win20.6%
Push (exactly one goal)22.2%
Loss57.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
0-111.3%
0-010.7%

Municipal Limeño vs FAS stats

Municipal Limeño and FAS recent form

newest first
Municipal Limeño LWDWWW
FAS WDWWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Municipal Limeño and FAS going into this match

league record before kick-off

Municipal Limeño record

  • They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

FAS record

  • They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).

Municipal Limeño vs FAS head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Municipal Limeño wins 2Draws 5FAS wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-25FASMunicipal LimeñoPrimera Division3-1
2026-05-18FASMunicipal LimeñoPrimera Division2-0
2026-05-15Municipal LimeñoFASPrimera Division1-0
2026-04-02FASMunicipal LimeñoPrimera Division2-0
2026-02-05Municipal LimeñoFASPrimera Division1-1
2025-10-12FASMunicipal LimeñoPrimera Division2-1
2025-08-10Municipal LimeñoFASPrimera Division1-4
2025-05-18Municipal LimeñoFASPrimera Division1-0
2025-05-15FASMunicipal LimeñoPrimera Division1-2
2025-04-24Municipal LimeñoFASPrimera Division0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Municipal Limeño vs FAS odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.4%, draw 28.9%, away 39.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.91 3.06 2.28
Bet365 2.88 3.20 2.25
BetVictor 2.60 2.90 2.10
Betano 2.95 3.20 2.30
Betfair 2.80 3.30 2.20
Marathonbet 2.83 3.06 2.26
Pinnacle 2.89 3.21 2.31
William Hill 2.88 3.00 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.88 ▼ -0.12
X 3.13 —
2 2.27 ▲ +0.01

4 snapshots recorded, from .