Firpo
vs
Cacahuatique
0 – 0 Full time
| 10′ | Cacahuatique |
Firpo vs Cacahuatique overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Firpo vs Cacahuatique
| Probability | Firpo | Draw | Cacahuatique |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.6% | 21.0% | 10.4% |
| Market | 63.1% | 22.7% | 14.2% |
| Final | 64.5% | 22.3% | 13.2% |
| Edge | +5.5% | -1.7% | -3.8% |
Why Firpo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 0.69.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Firpo below the model: +5.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Firpo and Cacahuatique expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.75
Firpo and Cacahuatique attack and defence ratings
Firpo
Cacahuatique
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Firpo vs Cacahuatique: result vs prediction
Firpo 0 – 0 Cacahuatique
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Firpo vs Cacahuatique markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Firpo | 64.5% | 1.55 | +5.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Firpo win | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Firpo | 64.5% |
| Draw | 22.3% | |
| Cacahuatique | 13.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.3% |
| No | 55.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Firpo win | 44.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 31.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 13.6% |
| 1-0 | 12.3% | |
| 1-1 | 10.0% |
Firpo vs Cacahuatique stats
Firpo and Cacahuatique recent form
| Firpo |
WWWLWD |
| Cacahuatique |
LLLDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Firpo and Cacahuatique going into this match
Firpo record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Cacahuatique record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
Firpo vs Cacahuatique head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | Firpo | Cacahuatique | Primera Division | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Cacahuatique | Firpo | Copa Presidente | 0-1 |
| 2026-02-04 | Cacahuatique | Firpo | Primera Division | 1-3 |
| 2025-10-12 | Firpo | Cacahuatique | Primera Division | 3-0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Cacahuatique | Firpo | Primera Division | 1-3 |
| 2025-05-03 | Cacahuatique | Firpo | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-09 | Firpo | Cacahuatique | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-05 | Cacahuatique | Firpo | Primera Division | 1-0 |
| 2024-08-03 | Firpo | Cacahuatique | Primera Division | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Firpo vs Cacahuatique odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 62.6%, draw 22.7%, away 14.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.40 | 3.94 | 7.09 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 3.80 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 3.60 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.10 | 6.10 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.20 | 6.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.39 | 3.94 | 6.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.43 | 4.00 | 5.92 |
| Unibet | 1.50 | 3.85 | 5.25 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 3.80 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
31 snapshots recorded, from .