Firpo
vs
Atletico Balboa
3 – 1 Full time
| 23′ | L. Claros | ||
| 45′ | E. Rodriguez | ||
| 56′ | J. Valencia | ||
| 57′ | R. Royero | ||
| 57′ | R. Royero | ||
| 74′ | M. E. Gonzalez |
Firpo vs Atletico Balboa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Firpo vs Atletico Balboa
| Probability | Firpo | Draw | Atletico Balboa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.4% | 27.9% | 18.7% |
| Market | 64.1% | 22.2% | 13.7% |
| Final | 61.5% | 23.6% | 14.9% |
| Edge | -10.7% | +5.7% | +5.0% |
Why Firpo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.56 vs 0.83.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Firpo and Atletico Balboa expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.38
Firpo and Atletico Balboa attack and defence ratings
Firpo
Atletico Balboa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Firpo vs Atletico Balboa: result vs prediction
Firpo 3 – 1 Atletico Balboa
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Firpo vs Atletico Balboa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Firpo | 61.5% | 1.63 | -10.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.1% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.6% | 2.15 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Firpo | 61.5% |
| Draw | 23.6% | |
| Atletico Balboa | 14.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.5% |
| No | 54.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Firpo win | 28.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.6% | |
| Loss | 46.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.2% |
| 1-1 | 13.1% | |
| 2-0 | 11.2% |
Firpo vs Atletico Balboa stats
Firpo and Atletico Balboa recent form
| Firpo |
WWLWDW |
| Atletico Balboa |
WLLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Firpo and Atletico Balboa going into this match
Firpo record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Atletico Balboa record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
Firpo vs Atletico Balboa head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Firpo vs Atletico Balboa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 64.1%, draw 22.2%, away 13.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.39 | 3.96 | 7.30 |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 4.20 | 6.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 3.60 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.44 | 4.15 | 6.40 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.20 | 6.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.38 | 3.96 | 6.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.43 | 4.13 | 6.64 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 3.80 | 7.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .