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Primera Division · Full time ·Apertura - 10

Atletico Balboa vs Platense

3 – 1 Full time

7′N. Bello
64′E. Cruz
70′M. Martinez
85′J. Diaz
Atletico Balboa 32%
Draw 31%
Platense 36%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Atletico Balboa vs Platense overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Balboa vs Platense

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAtletico BalboaDrawPlatense
Model30.5%32.0%37.5%
Market32.5%31.3%36.1%
Final32.0%31.5%36.5%
Edge-2.0%+0.7%+1.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Atletico Balbo ↓ / Platense → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 12% 8% 1 10% 15% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

Atletico Balboa and Platense expected goals

Atletico Balboa 1.01
Platense 1.15

Total expected goals: 2.16

Atletico Balboa and Platense attack and defence ratings

Atletico Balboa

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Platense

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Atletico Balboa vs Platense: result vs prediction

Atletico Balboa 3 – 1 Platense

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 10 fixtures

Primera Division

Before and after this match

Atletico Balboa vs Platense markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Platense 36.5% 2.74 +1.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.2% 1.58 — —
Both teams to score No 55.1% 1.81 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 68.5% 1.46 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.5% 1.60 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Atletico Balboa32.0%
Draw31.5%
Platense36.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.8%
Under 2.563.2%
Both teams to scoreYes44.9%
No55.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.5%
12 (either side)68.5%
X2 (draw or away)68.0%
Handicap -1Platense win16.3%
Push (exactly one goal)21.2%
Loss62.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.7%
0-012.8%
0-111.9%

Atletico Balboa vs Platense stats

Atletico Balboa and Platense recent form

newest first
Atletico Balboa LLLWWD
Platense LWLDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Atletico Balboa and Platense going into this match

league record before kick-off

Atletico Balboa record

  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.

Platense record

  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Atletico Balboa vs Platense head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Atletico Balboa vs Platense odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.5%, draw 31.3%, away 36.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.79 2.83 2.49
Bet365 2.62 3.20 2.45
BetVictor 2.50 2.80 2.25
Betano 2.85 2.87 2.55
Betfair 2.70 3.00 2.45
Marathonbet 2.79 2.83 2.49
Pinnacle 2.87 2.83 2.57
William Hill 2.70 3.00 2.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.75 ▼ -0.03
X 2.85 ▲ +0.03
2 2.47 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .