Garuda Lions
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Primera Division · Full time ·Apertura - 10

Isidro Metapán vs Firpo

1 – 2 Full time

28′M. Jacobo
70′F. Haberkorn
85′D. Ortez
Isidro Metapán 40%
Draw 28%
Firpo 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Isidro Metapán vs Firpo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Isidro Metapán vs Firpo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityIsidro MetapánDrawFirpo
Model24.0%30.4%45.6%
Market45.7%27.3%27.0%
Final40.3%28.0%31.7%
Edge-21.7%+3.1%+18.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Isidro Metapán ↓ / Firpo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 13% 10% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

Isidro Metapán and Firpo expected goals

Isidro Metapán 0.91
Firpo 1.35

Total expected goals: 2.26

Isidro Metapán and Firpo attack and defence ratings

Isidro Metapán

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Firpo

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.71 -29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Isidro Metapán vs Firpo: result vs prediction

Isidro Metapán 1 – 2 Firpo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 10 fixtures

Primera Division

Before and after this match

Isidro Metapán vs Firpo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Isidro Metapán 40.3% 2.48 -21.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.8% 1.64 — —
Both teams to score No 54.6% 1.83 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.0% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 76.2% 1.31 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Isidro Metapán40.3%
Draw28.0%
Firpo31.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.2%
Under 2.560.8%
Both teams to scoreYes45.4%
No54.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.3%
12 (either side)72.0%
X2 (draw or away)59.7%
Handicap -1Isidro Metapán win8.5%
Push (exactly one goal)15.3%
Loss76.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.1%
0-112.8%
0-011.8%

Isidro Metapán vs Firpo stats

Isidro Metapán and Firpo recent form

newest first
Isidro Metapán WLLWLW
Firpo WLWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Isidro Metapán and Firpo going into this match

league record before kick-off

Isidro Metapán record

  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.

Firpo record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.

Isidro Metapán vs Firpo head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Isidro Metapán wins 3Draws 4Firpo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-10FirpoIsidro MetapánPrimera Division1-1
2026-05-07Isidro MetapánFirpoPrimera Division1-2
2026-04-16FirpoIsidro MetapánPrimera Division0-2
2026-02-19Isidro MetapánFirpoPrimera Division1-0
2025-11-02FirpoIsidro MetapánPrimera Division2-1
2025-08-31Isidro MetapánFirpoPrimera Division2-1
2025-04-20FirpoIsidro MetapánPrimera Division0-0
2025-02-23Isidro MetapánFirpoPrimera Division0-0
2024-11-10FirpoIsidro MetapánPrimera Division2-0
2024-09-08Isidro MetapánFirpoPrimera Division1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Isidro Metapán vs Firpo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.7%, draw 27.3%, away 27.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.03 3.24 3.33
Bet365 2.10 3.20 3.10
BetVictor 1.83 3.00 3.13
Betano 1.95 3.45 3.45
Betfair 1.95 3.30 3.30
Marathonbet 2.01 3.24 3.26
Pinnacle 1.85 3.66 3.58
William Hill 1.95 3.30 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.95 ▼ -0.05
X 3.27 ▲ +0.01
2 3.30 ▼ -0.23

3 snapshots recorded, from .