Primera Division · Full time ·Apertura - 8

Firpo vs Inter

3 – 0 Full time

13′A. Martinez
22′R. Aguila
32′D. Ortez
45′L. S. Vasquez Velasquez
89′G. Stradella
Firpo 42%
Draw 29%
Inter 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Firpo vs Inter overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Firpo vs Inter

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFirpoDrawInter
Model26.3%32.1%41.6%
Market46.6%28.2%25.2%
Final41.5%29.2%29.3%
Edge-20.3%+3.9%+16.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Firpo ↓ / Inter → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 13% 9% 1 10% 15% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 63%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 14%

Firpo and Inter expected goals

Firpo 0.90
Inter 1.20

Total expected goals: 2.10

Firpo and Inter attack and defence ratings

Firpo

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Inter

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 0.68 -32%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Firpo vs Inter: result vs prediction

Firpo 3 – 0 Inter

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 8 fixtures

Primera Division

Before and after this match

Firpo vs Inter markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Firpo 41.5% 2.41 -20.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.9% 1.54 — —
Both teams to score No 57.2% 1.75 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.8% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 73.8% 1.35 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Firpo41.5%
Draw29.2%
Inter29.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.1%
Under 2.564.9%
Both teams to scoreYes42.8%
No57.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.7%
12 (either side)70.8%
X2 (draw or away)58.5%
Handicap -1Firpo win9.4%
Push (exactly one goal)16.8%
Loss73.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.5%
0-013.5%
0-113.4%

Firpo vs Inter stats

Firpo and Inter recent form

newest first
Firpo LWDWWD
Inter WWWWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Firpo and Inter going into this match

league record before kick-off

Firpo record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.

Inter record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Firpo vs Inter head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Firpo wins 2Draws 0Inter wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-29InterFirpoPrimera Division0-3
2026-02-01FirpoInterPrimera Division0-0
2025-10-05InterFirpoPrimera Division1-1
2025-08-03FirpoInterPrimera Division2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Firpo vs Inter odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.6%, draw 28.2%, away 25.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.91 3.16 3.82
Bet365 2.00 3.30 3.20
BetVictor 1.80 3.00 3.25
Pinnacle 1.92 3.17 3.92

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.92 —
X 3.17 ▼ -0.02
2 3.54 ▼ -0.26

4 snapshots recorded, from .