Águila
vs
Alianza
2 – 2 Full time
| 28′ | J. Portillo | ||
| 45′ | F. Andrada | ||
| 80′ | M. Mier | ||
| 83′ | L. Menjivar | ||
| 90′ | M. Diaz |
Águila vs Alianza overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Águila vs Alianza
| Probability | Águila | Draw | Alianza |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.6% | 29.4% | 33.0% |
| Market | 42.5% | 29.1% | 28.4% |
| Final | 41.3% | 29.2% | 29.6% |
| Edge | -4.9% | +0.4% | +4.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Águila and Alianza expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.51
Águila and Alianza attack and defence ratings
Águila
Alianza
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Águila vs Alianza: result vs prediction
Águila 2 – 2 Alianza
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Águila vs Alianza markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Águila | 41.3% | 2.42 | -4.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Águila | 41.3% |
| Draw | 29.2% | |
| Alianza | 29.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.4% |
| No | 47.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Águila win | 17.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 62.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 0-0 | 9.4% | |
| 1-0 | 9.3% |
Águila vs Alianza stats
Águila and Alianza recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Águila and Alianza going into this match
Águila record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
Alianza record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Águila vs Alianza head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Alianza | Águila | Primera Division | 0-2 |
| 2026-05-06 | Águila | Alianza | Primera Division | 2-1 |
| 2026-04-16 | Alianza | Águila | Primera Division | 0-2 |
| 2026-02-19 | Águila | Alianza | Primera Division | 0-3 |
| 2025-11-02 | Alianza | Águila | Primera Division | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Águila | Alianza | Primera Division | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-13 | Alianza | Águila | Primera Division | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-16 | Águila | Alianza | Primera Division | 0-1 |
| 2024-11-10 | Alianza | Águila | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-12 | Águila | Alianza | Primera Division | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Águila vs Alianza odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.5%, draw 29.1%, away 28.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.13 | 3.06 | 3.27 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 2.90 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.11 | 3.06 | 3.20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.13 | 3.10 | 3.33 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .