Garuda Lions
Today
Primera Division · Full time ·Apertura - 7

Alianza vs Atletico Balboa

2 – 0 Full time

Alianza 53%
Draw 25%
Atletico Balboa 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Alianza vs Atletico Balboa overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Alianza vs Atletico Balboa

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAlianzaDrawAtletico Balboa
Model25.8%28.8%45.4%
Market61.6%23.4%15.0%
Final52.6%24.8%22.6%
Edge-35.8%+5.4%+30.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Alianza ↓ / Atletico Balbo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 11% 9% 1 7% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Alianza and Atletico Balboa expected goals

Alianza 1.04
Atletico Balboa 1.46

Total expected goals: 2.50

Alianza and Atletico Balboa attack and defence ratings

Alianza

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Atletico Balboa

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Alianza vs Atletico Balboa: result vs prediction

Alianza 2 – 0 Atletico Balboa

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 7 fixtures

Primera Division

Before and after this match

Alianza vs Atletico Balboa markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Alianza 52.6% 1.90 -35.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.5% 1.84 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.9% 1.97 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.4% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 74.3% 1.35 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Alianza52.6%
Draw24.8%
Atletico Balboa22.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.5%
Under 2.554.5%
Both teams to scoreYes50.9%
No49.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.4%
12 (either side)75.2%
X2 (draw or away)47.4%
Handicap -1Alianza win10.1%
Push (exactly one goal)15.7%
Loss74.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.7%
0-110.7%
0-09.5%

Alianza vs Atletico Balboa stats

Alianza and Atletico Balboa recent form

newest first
Alianza DLDLWL
Atletico Balboa WWDDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Alianza and Atletico Balboa going into this match

league record before kick-off

Alianza record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Atletico Balboa record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.

Alianza vs Atletico Balboa head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Alianza vs Atletico Balboa odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 61.6%, draw 23.4%, away 15.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.45 4.00 6.23
Betano 1.60 3.55 5.60
Betfair 1.44 4.00 6.00
Unibet 1.48 3.70 6.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.46 —
X 3.85 —
2 6.00 —

4 snapshots recorded, from .