Fuerte San Francisco
vs
FAS
0 – 1 Full time
| 88′ | R. Tejada |
Fuerte San Francisco vs FAS overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fuerte San Francisco vs FAS
| Probability | Fuerte San Francisco | Draw | FAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 11.2% | 23.9% | 64.9% |
| Market | 19.0% | 27.1% | 54.0% |
| Final | 17.0% | 26.3% | 56.7% |
| Edge | -7.7% | -3.2% | +10.9% |
Why FAS
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 0.62.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices FAS below the model: +10.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fuerte San Francisco and FAS expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.42
Fuerte San Francisco and FAS attack and defence ratings
Fuerte San Francisco
FAS
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fuerte San Francisco vs FAS: result vs prediction
Fuerte San Francisco 0 – 1 FAS
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fuerte San Francisco vs FAS markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FAS | 56.7% | 1.76 | +10.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 83.0% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FAS win | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fuerte San Francisco | 17.0% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| FAS | 56.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.6% |
| No | 60.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 43.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 83.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | FAS win | 39.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.7% | |
| Loss | 35.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 15.0% |
| 0-2 | 14.4% | |
| 1-1 | 10.9% |
Fuerte San Francisco vs FAS stats
Fuerte San Francisco and FAS recent form
| Fuerte San Francisco |
LLWDDL |
| FAS |
WWLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fuerte San Francisco and FAS going into this match
Fuerte San Francisco record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
FAS record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
Fuerte San Francisco vs FAS head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | FAS | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 3-1 |
| 2026-01-25 | Fuerte San Francisco | FAS | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-29 | FAS | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 3-0 |
| 2025-07-27 | Fuerte San Francisco | FAS | Primera Division | 0-8 |
| 2025-04-10 | FAS | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 0-3 |
| 2025-02-12 | Fuerte San Francisco | FAS | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2024-10-06 | FAS | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 4-0 |
| 2024-08-04 | Fuerte San Francisco | FAS | Primera Division | 2-2 |
| 2024-04-24 | Fuerte San Francisco | FAS | Primera Division | 0-2 |
| 2024-02-25 | FAS | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fuerte San Francisco vs FAS odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.0%, draw 27.1%, away 54.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.05 | 3.32 | 1.66 |
| Bet365 | 4.33 | 3.40 | 1.67 |
| BetVictor | 4.10 | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| Marathonbet | 4.95 | 3.32 | 1.64 |
| Pinnacle | 4.68 | 3.44 | 1.70 |
| William Hill | 4.80 | 3.20 | 1.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .