FAS
vs
Alianza
2 – 1 Full time
| 8′ | H. Osorio | ||
| 45′ | E. Medrano | ||
| 45′ | E. Medrano | ||
| 74′ | L. Menjivar | ||
| 74′ | L. Menjivar |
FAS vs Alianza overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FAS vs Alianza
| Probability | FAS | Draw | Alianza |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.6% | 24.4% | 20.0% |
| Market | 55.0% | 25.8% | 19.2% |
| Final | 55.1% | 25.4% | 19.4% |
| Edge | +0.6% | -1.4% | +0.8% |
Why FAS
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.06.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FAS and Alianza expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.95
FAS and Alianza attack and defence ratings
FAS
Alianza
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FAS vs Alianza: result vs prediction
FAS 2 – 1 Alianza
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
FAS vs Alianza markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FAS | 55.1% | 1.81 | +0.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.7% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FAS | 55.1% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Alianza | 19.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.7% |
| No | 43.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | FAS win | 32.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 44.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.3% |
FAS vs Alianza stats
FAS and Alianza recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FAS and Alianza going into this match
FAS record
- They have won 7 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
Alianza record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
FAS vs Alianza head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Alianza | FAS | Primera Division | 0-2 |
| 2026-02-15 | FAS | Alianza | Primera Division | 3-1 |
| 2025-10-26 | FAS | Alianza | Primera Division | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-24 | Alianza | FAS | Primera Division | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-06 | Alianza | FAS | Primera Division | 1-0 |
| 2025-02-09 | FAS | Alianza | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-17 | FAS | Alianza | Primera Division | 4-1 |
| 2024-09-15 | Alianza | FAS | Primera Division | 1-0 |
| 2024-05-22 | Alianza | FAS | Primera Division | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-19 | FAS | Alianza | Primera Division | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FAS vs Alianza odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.8%, draw 25.8%, away 19.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.65 | 3.42 | 4.78 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.50 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 2.90 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.60 | 4.55 |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.68 | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.63 | 3.42 | 4.65 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65 | 3.54 | 4.86 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.30 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .