Alianza
vs
Inter
Garuda Lions Prediction: Alianza
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Alianza vs Inter overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Alianza vs Inter
| Probability | Alianza | Draw | Inter |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.9% | 28.1% | 41.0% |
| Market | 39.4% | 28.5% | 32.0% |
| Final | 37.3% | 28.4% | 34.3% |
| Edge | -8.6% | -0.4% | +9.0% |
Why Alianza
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.52, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Alianza vs Inter match preview
In the upcoming match between Alianza and Inter, the probabilities suggest a closely contested game, with Alianza at 37% to win, Inter at 35%, and a 28% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Alianza, with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% likelihood that both teams will score. Expected goals are calculated at 1.24 for Alianza and 1.46 for Inter, indicating a slight edge for Inter in terms of offensive potential.
Recent form shows Alianza with a record of L-D-W-D-D-W, while Inter has D-L-D-D-D-W. In their last five encounters, Alianza has secured 1 win, 1 draw, and Inter has 3 wins. This matchup reflects a competitive dynamic, with both teams looking to improve their standings in the Primera Division.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Alianza and Inter expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.69
Alianza and Inter attack and defence ratings
Alianza
Inter
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Alianza vs Inter markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alianza | 37.3% | 2.68 | -8.6% | 2.52 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alianza | 37.3% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| Inter | 34.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.7% |
| No | 44.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Alianza win | 13.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.3% | |
| Loss | 69.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 0-1 | 8.6% |
Alianza vs Inter stats
Alianza and Inter recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Alianza and Inter season so far
Alianza record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
Inter record
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Alianza vs Inter head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Inter | Alianza | Primera Division | 2-0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Inter | Alianza | Primera Division | 2-0 |
| 2026-01-29 | Alianza | Inter | Primera Division | 1-3 |
| 2025-09-22 | Inter | Alianza | Primera Division | 0-1 |
| 2025-07-20 | Alianza | Inter | Primera Division | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Alianza vs Inter odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.4%, draw 28.5%, away 32.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.29 | 3.12 | 2.84 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.25 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.52 | 3.15 | 2.67 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.25 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.65 |
| Marathonbet | 2.27 | 3.12 | 2.77 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .