Alianza
vs
Inter
2 – 2 Full time
| 8′ | H. Osorio | ||
| 51′ | M. Mier | ||
| 53′ | K. Molina | ||
| 83′ | C. Guardado | ||
| 90′ | M. Hernandez |
Alianza vs Inter overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Alianza vs Inter
| Probability | Alianza | Draw | Inter |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.6% | 28.1% | 41.2% |
| Market | 37.3% | 29.1% | 33.6% |
| Final | 35.6% | 28.9% | 35.5% |
| Edge | -1.7% | -0.3% | +1.9% |
Why Alianza
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Alianza and Inter expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.69
Alianza and Inter attack and defence ratings
Alianza
Inter
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Alianza vs Inter: result vs prediction
Alianza 2 – 2 Inter
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Alianza vs Inter markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alianza | 35.6% | 2.81 | -1.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.2% | 1.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alianza | 35.6% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Inter | 35.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.5% |
| No | 44.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Alianza win | 13.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.3% | |
| Loss | 69.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 0-1 | 8.7% |
Alianza vs Inter stats
Alianza and Inter recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Alianza and Inter going into this match
Alianza record
- They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
Inter record
- They have won 5 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Alianza vs Inter head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Inter | Alianza | Primera Division | 2-0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Inter | Alianza | Primera Division | 2-0 |
| 2026-01-29 | Alianza | Inter | Primera Division | 1-3 |
| 2025-09-22 | Inter | Alianza | Primera Division | 0-1 |
| 2025-07-20 | Alianza | Inter | Primera Division | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Alianza vs Inter odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.3%, draw 29.1%, away 33.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.40 | 3.04 | 2.66 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.25 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 2.88 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 2.47 | 3.10 | 2.75 |
| Betfair | 2.38 | 3.25 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.40 | 3.04 | 2.66 |
| Pinnacle | 2.51 | 3.01 | 2.77 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .