Primera Division · Full time ·Apertura - 16

Inter vs Municipal Limeño

1 – 2 Full time

2′B. Ramirez
29′J. C. Argueta
57′M. Hernandez
Inter 48%
Draw 27%
Municipal Limeño 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Inter vs Municipal Limeño overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Inter vs Municipal Limeño

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityInterDrawMunicipal Limeño
Model48.3%26.1%25.6%
Market48.1%27.1%24.8%
Final48.1%26.9%25.0%
Edge+0.1%-0.2%+0.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Inter

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 1.19.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Inter ↓ / Municipal Lime → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 8% 12% 7% 2 8% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Inter and Municipal Limeño expected goals

Inter 1.71
Municipal Limeño 1.19

Total expected goals: 2.90

Inter and Municipal Limeño attack and defence ratings

Inter

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Municipal Limeño

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Inter vs Municipal Limeño: result vs prediction

Inter 1 – 2 Municipal Limeño

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 16 fixtures

Primera Division

Before and after this match

Inter vs Municipal Limeño markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Inter 48.1% 2.08 +0.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.4% 1.81 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.1% 1.72 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.0% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.7% 1.93 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Inter48.1%
Draw26.9%
Municipal Limeño25.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.4%
Under 2.544.6%
Both teams to scoreYes58.1%
No41.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.0%
12 (either side)73.1%
X2 (draw or away)51.9%
Handicap -1Inter win26.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.7%
Loss51.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.3%
2-19.6%
1-08.3%

Inter vs Municipal Limeño stats

Inter and Municipal Limeño recent form

newest first
Inter DDLDDD
Municipal Limeño LLLLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Inter and Municipal Limeño going into this match

league record before kick-off

Inter record

  • They have won 5 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 15 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 15 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Municipal Limeño record

  • They have won 5 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 15 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 15 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Inter vs Municipal Limeño head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

3Inter wins 1Draws 3Municipal Limeño wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-15Municipal LimeñoInterPrimera Division0-1
2026-05-11InterMunicipal LimeñoPrimera Division2-1
2026-05-08Municipal LimeñoInterPrimera Division2-0
2026-04-26InterMunicipal LimeñoPrimera Division2-1
2026-03-01Municipal LimeñoInterPrimera Division2-1
2025-11-09InterMunicipal LimeñoPrimera Division1-1
2025-09-07Municipal LimeñoInterPrimera Division1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Inter vs Municipal Limeño odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.7%, draw 27.2%, away 25.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.87 3.30 3.68
Bet365 1.83 3.40 3.60
BetVictor 1.75 3.00 3.40
Betano 2.05 3.20 3.45
Betfair 1.95 3.30 3.30
Dafabet 2.05 3.30 3.45
Marathonbet 1.85 3.30 3.58
Pinnacle 1.88 3.38 3.79
William Hill 1.91 3.10 3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.86 ▼ -0.11
X 3.30 —
2 3.60 ▲ +0.19

2 snapshots recorded, from .