Inter
vs
Municipal Limeño
Garuda Lions Prediction: Inter
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Inter vs Municipal Limeño overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Inter vs Municipal Limeño
| Probability | Inter | Draw | Municipal Limeño |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.0% | 28.3% | 24.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 47.0% | 28.3% | 24.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Inter
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 1.03.
Inter vs Municipal Limeño match preview
Inter faces Municipal Limeño in their upcoming Primera Division match on October 17, 2026. According to our model, Inter has a 47% chance of winning, while Municipal Limeño stands at 25%, with a 28% probability of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Inter, with an expected goals tally of 1.50 for Inter and 1.03 for Municipal Limeño.
Recent form shows Inter with four draws and a win in their last five matches, while Municipal Limeño has struggled, recording four losses and a draw in their recent outings. In their last seven encounters, both teams have won three times each, indicating a competitive history. The model also suggests a 46% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance for both teams to score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Inter and Municipal Limeño expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.53
Inter and Municipal Limeño attack and defence ratings
Inter
Municipal Limeño
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Before and after this match
Inter vs Municipal Limeño markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter | 47.0% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Municipal Limeño | 24.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.2% |
| No | 48.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Inter win | 24.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 53.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-0 | 10.7% | |
| 2-1 | 9.2% |
Inter vs Municipal Limeño stats
Inter and Municipal Limeño recent form
| Inter |
DLDDDW |
| Municipal Limeño |
LLLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Inter and Municipal Limeño season so far
Inter record
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Municipal Limeño record
- They have won 5 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Inter vs Municipal Limeño head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Municipal Limeño | Inter | Primera Division | 0-1 |
| 2026-05-11 | Inter | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 2-1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Municipal Limeño | Inter | Primera Division | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Inter | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 2-1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Municipal Limeño | Inter | Primera Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Inter | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-07 | Municipal Limeño | Inter | Primera Division | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.