Municipal Limeño
vs
Cacahuatique
Garuda Lions Prediction: Municipal Limeño
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 0.96.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Municipal Limeño is the favourite, not a value bet.
Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique
| Probability | Municipal Limeño | Draw | Cacahuatique |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.8% | 27.1% | 21.1% |
| Market | 49.0% | 27.3% | 23.7% |
| Final | 49.7% | 27.2% | 23.1% |
| Edge | +0.7% | -0.1% | -0.7% |
Why Municipal Limeño
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 0.96.
Best available price on the pick: 1.93, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.1% per unit staked (our 49.7% × 1.93 − 1).
Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique match preview
Municipal Limeño faces Cacahuatique in their upcoming Primera Division match, with our model assigning a 52% probability of a win for Municipal Limeño, while Cacahuatique has a 21% chance. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Municipal Limeño, with an expected goals tally of 1.63 for them compared to 0.96 for Cacahuatique.
In terms of recent form, Municipal Limeño has struggled, recording six games without a win, while Cacahuatique has managed two draws and a win in their last five matches. The head-to-head record shows Municipal Limeño with three wins and Cacahuatique with two in their last five encounters. The probabilities indicate a competitive matchup, with both teams having a 51% chance of scoring at least once.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Municipal Limeño and Cacahuatique expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.59
Municipal Limeño and Cacahuatique attack and defence ratings
Municipal Limeño
Cacahuatique
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 17 fixtures
Before and after this match
Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Municipal Limeño | 49.7% | 2.01 | +0.7% | 1.93 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.2% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Municipal Limeño | 49.7% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| Cacahuatique | 23.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.8% |
| No | 49.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Municipal Limeño win | 28.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 48.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 1-0 | 11.0% | |
| 2-0 | 9.9% |
Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique stats
Municipal Limeño and Cacahuatique recent form
| Municipal Limeño |
WLLLLL |
| Cacahuatique |
DLLWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Municipal Limeño and Cacahuatique season so far
Municipal Limeño record
- They have won 6 of their 16 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 16 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 16 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Cacahuatique record
- They have won 2 of their 16 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 16 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 16 matches.
Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Cacahuatique | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 1-3 |
| 2026-05-01 | Municipal Limeño | Cacahuatique | Primera Division | 2-3 |
| 2026-03-08 | Cacahuatique | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 0-5 |
| 2025-11-16 | Municipal Limeño | Cacahuatique | Primera Division | 4-1 |
| 2025-09-14 | Cacahuatique | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-10 | Cacahuatique | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 0-2 |
| 2025-02-14 | Municipal Limeño | Cacahuatique | Primera Division | 1-2 |
| 2024-12-08 | Cacahuatique | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 0-1 |
| 2024-12-06 | Municipal Limeño | Cacahuatique | Primera Division | 0-1 |
| 2024-11-30 | Cacahuatique | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Municipal Limeño vs Cacahuatique odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.0%, draw 27.3%, away 23.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.83 | 3.32 | 3.82 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.30 | 3.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.90 | 3.40 | 3.85 |
| Marathonbet | 1.81 | 3.32 | 3.72 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.31 | 3.88 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.10 | 3.80 |