Águila
vs
FAS
Garuda Lions Prediction: Águila
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Águila vs FAS overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Águila vs FAS
| Probability | Águila | Draw | FAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.0% | 28.0% | 33.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 39.0% | 28.0% | 33.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Águila
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Águila vs FAS match preview
Águila faces FAS in an upcoming Primera Division match, with Águila holding a 39% probability of winning, while FAS has a 33% chance. The model suggests a likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Águila, with an expected goals tally of 1.43 for Águila and 1.30 for FAS. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 51%, and both teams scoring is predicted at 57%.
In terms of recent form, Águila has recorded a draw, followed by three wins, a loss, and another win, while FAS has a draw, a loss, three wins, and a draw in their last six matches. Historically, in their last six encounters, Águila has secured one win, with FAS winning four times and one match ending in a draw. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Águila and FAS expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.73
Águila and FAS attack and defence ratings
Águila
FAS
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 17 fixtures
Before and after this match
Águila vs FAS markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Águila | 39.0% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Águila | 39.0% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| FAS | 33.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.6% |
| No | 43.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Águila win | 19.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 61.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-0 | 8.1% |
Águila vs FAS stats
Águila and FAS recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Águila and FAS season so far
Águila record
- They have won 6 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 15 matches.
FAS record
- They have won 9 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
Águila vs FAS head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | FAS | Águila | Primera Division | 1-0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Águila | FAS | Primera Division | 0-3 |
| 2026-03-29 | Águila | FAS | Primera Division | 3-0 |
| 2026-02-01 | FAS | Águila | Primera Division | 3-0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Águila | FAS | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-03 | FAS | Águila | Primera Division | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.