Firpo
vs
FAS
Garuda Lions Prediction: Firpo
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 1.00.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Firpo vs FAS overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Firpo vs FAS
| Probability | Firpo | Draw | FAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.9% | 27.1% | 22.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 50.9% | 27.1% | 22.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Firpo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 1.00.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Firpo vs FAS match preview
In the upcoming match between Firpo and FAS, the probability model indicates a slight edge for Firpo, with a 51% chance of winning compared to FAS's 22%. The expected goals suggest Firpo is likely to score 1.63 while FAS is projected at 1.00, hinting at a competitive encounter. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Firpo, occurring with an 11% probability.
Recent form shows Firpo with a mixed bag of results, including three wins in their last five matches, while FAS has had two wins in their last five. The head-to-head record over the last ten matches is evenly split, with both teams securing four wins each, along with two draws. The confidence grade for this matchup is noted as C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Firpo and FAS expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.63
Firpo and FAS attack and defence ratings
Firpo
FAS
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 18 fixtures
Before and after this match
Firpo vs FAS markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Firpo | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Firpo | 50.9% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| FAS | 22.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.9% |
| No | 48.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Firpo win | 27.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 49.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 1-0 | 10.6% | |
| 2-0 | 9.6% |
Firpo vs FAS stats
Firpo and FAS recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Firpo and FAS season so far
Firpo record
- They have won 9 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 15 matches.
FAS record
- They have won 9 of their 16 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 16 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
Firpo vs FAS head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | FAS | Firpo | Primera Division | 3-1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Firpo | FAS | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-01 | FAS | Firpo | Primera Division | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Firpo | FAS | Primera Division | 3-1 |
| 2025-09-08 | FAS | Firpo | Primera Division | 2-3 |
| 2025-03-27 | Firpo | FAS | Primera Division | 1-2 |
| 2025-01-30 | FAS | Firpo | Primera Division | 0-3 |
| 2024-11-30 | Firpo | FAS | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-22 | FAS | Firpo | Primera Division | 4-1 |
| 2024-03-31 | FAS | Firpo | Primera Division | 0-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.