Atletico Balboa
vs
Alianza
Garuda Lions Prediction: Alianza
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Atletico Balboa vs Alianza overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Balboa vs Alianza
| Probability | Atletico Balboa | Draw | Alianza |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.4% | 28.1% | 42.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 29.4% | 28.1% | 42.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Alianza
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Atletico Balboa vs Alianza match preview
Atletico Balboa faces Alianza in the Primera Division with a kickoff scheduled for November 1, 2026. According to our model, Atletico Balboa has a 29% probability of winning, while Alianza has a higher likelihood of 43%. The most probable scoreline is 1-2 in favor of Alianza, occurring at a rate of 9%. Expected goals for Atletico Balboa stand at 1.20, compared to Alianza's 1.48.
Recent form shows Atletico Balboa with a record of W-D-L-L-L-D, while Alianza has performed slightly better with W-D-D-L-D-W. The model indicates a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% probability that both teams will score. In their last encounter, Alianza emerged victorious, continuing their edge in head-to-head matchups.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atletico Balboa and Alianza expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.68
Atletico Balboa and Alianza attack and defence ratings
Atletico Balboa
Alianza
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 18 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atletico Balboa vs Alianza markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alianza | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Balboa | 29.4% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Alianza | 42.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.1% |
| No | 44.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Alianza win | 21.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 57.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | |
| 0-1 | 9.0% |
Atletico Balboa vs Alianza stats
Atletico Balboa and Alianza recent form
| Atletico Balboa |
WDLLLD |
| Alianza |
WDDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atletico Balboa and Alianza season so far
Atletico Balboa record
- They have won 3 of their 16 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 16 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 16 matches.
Alianza record
- They have won 4 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 15 matches.
Atletico Balboa vs Alianza head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Alianza | Atletico Balboa | Primera Division | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.