Primera Division · ·Apertura - 19

Municipal Limeño vs Atletico Balboa

Garuda Lions Prediction: Municipal Limeño

2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability

  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Municipal Limeño 43%
Draw 26%
Atletico Balboa 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Municipal Limeño wins
43%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
94%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
62%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes

Municipal Limeño vs Atletico Balboa overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Municipal Limeño vs Atletico Balboa

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMunicipal LimeñoDrawAtletico Balboa
Model42.7%26.1%31.1%
Market———
Final42.7%26.1%31.1%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Municipal Limeño vs Atletico Balboa match preview

Municipal Limeño faces Atletico Balboa in their upcoming Primera Division match, with the model assigning a 42% probability of a Municipal Limeño victory, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 32% likelihood of an Atletico Balboa win. The expected goals are 1.68 for Municipal Limeño and 1.45 for Atletico Balboa, indicating a competitive matchup. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Municipal Limeño, occurring at a rate of 9%.

In terms of recent form, Municipal Limeño has recorded two draws and three losses in their last six matches, while Atletico Balboa has achieved two wins, one draw, and three losses in the same timeframe. The model suggests a high probability for over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 63%, highlighting a potentially dynamic encounter.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Municipal Lime ↓ / Atletico Balbo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 12% 8% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 6%

Municipal Limeño and Atletico Balboa expected goals

Municipal Limeño 1.65
Atletico Balboa 1.38

Total expected goals: 3.03

Municipal Limeño and Atletico Balboa attack and defence ratings

Municipal Limeño

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Atletico Balboa

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Apertura - 19 fixtures

Primera Division

Before and after this match

Municipal Limeño vs Atletico Balboa markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Municipal Limeño 42.7% 2.34 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.4% 1.71 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.7% 1.62 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.9% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.3% 1.75 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Municipal Limeño42.7%
Draw26.1%
Atletico Balboa31.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.4%
Under 2.541.6%
Both teams to scoreYes61.7%
No38.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.9%
12 (either side)73.9%
X2 (draw or away)57.3%
Handicap -1Municipal Limeño win22.7%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss57.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.1%
2-19.1%
1-27.6%

Municipal Limeño vs Atletico Balboa stats

Municipal Limeño and Atletico Balboa recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Municipal Limeño and Atletico Balboa season so far

league record

Municipal Limeño record

  • They have won 6 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 18 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 18 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Atletico Balboa record

  • They have won 4 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 17 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 17 matches.

Municipal Limeño vs Atletico Balboa head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Municipal Limeño wins 0Draws 0Atletico Balboa wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-06Atletico BalboaMunicipal LimeñoPrimera Division0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Municipal Limeño vs Atletico Balboa odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Municipal Limeño Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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