Fuerte San Francisco
vs
Atletico Balboa
Garuda Lions Prediction: Fuerte San Francisco
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Fuerte San Francisco is the favourite, not a value bet.
Fuerte San Francisco vs Atletico Balboa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fuerte San Francisco vs Atletico Balboa
| Probability | Fuerte San Francisco | Draw | Atletico Balboa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.0% | 28.2% | 37.8% |
| Market | 37.3% | 30.4% | 32.3% |
| Final | 36.5% | 29.9% | 33.7% |
| Edge | -0.8% | -0.6% | +1.4% |
Why Fuerte San Francisco
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.50, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.8% per unit staked (our 36.5% × 2.50 − 1).
Fuerte San Francisco vs Atletico Balboa match preview
Fuerte San Francisco hosts Atletico Balboa in a Primera Division clash on October 25, 2026. The probabilities indicate a close contest, with Atletico Balboa slightly favored at 38%, while Fuerte San Francisco stands at 34% and the draw at 28%. The expected goals suggest a tight match, with Fuerte San Francisco projected to score 1.32 and Atletico Balboa 1.39.
Recent form shows Fuerte San Francisco with a mixed record of L-W-D-L-D-D, while Atletico Balboa has struggled, recording D-L-L-L-D-L in their last six matches. Historically, Atletico Balboa has the upper hand, winning their last encounter against Fuerte San Francisco. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fuerte San Francisco and Atletico Balboa expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.71
Fuerte San Francisco and Atletico Balboa attack and defence ratings
Fuerte San Francisco
Atletico Balboa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 17 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fuerte San Francisco vs Atletico Balboa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fuerte San Francisco | 36.5% | 2.74 | -0.8% | 2.50 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fuerte San Francisco | 36.5% |
| Draw | 29.9% | |
| Atletico Balboa | 33.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.2% |
| No | 43.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fuerte San Francisco win | 15.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 66.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 0-1 | 8.1% |
Fuerte San Francisco vs Atletico Balboa stats
Fuerte San Francisco and Atletico Balboa recent form
| Fuerte San Francisco |
LWDLDD |
| Atletico Balboa |
DLLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fuerte San Francisco and Atletico Balboa season so far
Fuerte San Francisco record
- They have won 2 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 15 matches.
Atletico Balboa record
- They have won 3 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.6 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 15 matches.
Fuerte San Francisco vs Atletico Balboa head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Atletico Balboa | Fuerte San Francisco | Primera Division | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fuerte San Francisco vs Atletico Balboa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.3%, draw 30.4%, away 32.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.20 | 2.75 |
| Betano | 2.47 | 3.00 | 2.85 |
| Dafabet | 2.50 | 3.05 | 2.85 |
| Pinnacle | 2.46 | 2.98 | 2.86 |