Inca Aruba
vs
Inter
0 – 2 Full time
Inca Aruba vs Inter overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Inca Aruba vs Inter
| Probability | Inca Aruba | Draw | Inter |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.9% | 27.0% | 51.0% |
| Market | 20.0% | 25.6% | 54.4% |
| Final | 20.5% | 26.0% | 53.5% |
| Edge | +0.5% | +0.3% | -0.8% |
Why Inter
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 1.00.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Inca Aruba and Inter expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.63
Inca Aruba and Inter attack and defence ratings
Inca Aruba
Inter
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Inca Aruba vs Inter: result vs prediction
Inca Aruba 0 – 2 Inter
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 17 fixtures
Before and after this match
Inca Aruba vs Inter markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter | 53.5% | 1.87 | -0.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inca Aruba | 20.5% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Inter | 53.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.9% |
| No | 48.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Inter win | 27.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 49.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 0-1 | 10.6% | |
| 0-2 | 9.6% |
Inca Aruba vs Inter stats
Inca Aruba and Inter recent form
| Inca Aruba |
LLDWDW |
| Inter |
LDDLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Inca Aruba and Inter going into this match
Inca Aruba record
- They have won 4 of their 16 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 16 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 16 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Inter record
- They have won 5 of their 16 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 16 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 16 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Inca Aruba vs Inter head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Inter | Inca Aruba | Primera Division | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Inca Aruba vs Inter odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 20.0%, draw 25.6%, away 54.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.78 | 3.54 | 1.62 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.67 |
| BetVictor | 3.90 | 3.25 | 1.57 |
| Betano | 4.50 | 3.55 | 1.70 |
| Betfair | 4.60 | 3.75 | 1.62 |
| Dafabet | 4.70 | 3.65 | 1.68 |
| Pinnacle | 4.51 | 3.55 | 1.70 |
| William Hill | 4.60 | 3.30 | 1.70 |