Primera Division Β· Β·Apertura - 18

Inter vs Platense

Garuda Lions Prediction: Inter

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability

  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Inter 42%
Draw 27%
Platense 31%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Inter wins
42%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
93%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
60%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes

Inter vs Platense overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Inter vs Platense

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityInterDrawPlatense
Model42.4%26.7%30.8%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final42.4%26.7%30.8%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Inter vs Platense match preview

Inter faces Platense in the Primera Division with a projected win probability of 42% for Inter, while Platense stands at 31%, and a draw is estimated at 27%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Inter, with a 9% likelihood. The model also suggests a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% probability that both teams will score.

In terms of recent form, Inter has recorded one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches, while Platense has achieved three wins, one draw, and one loss. Historically, in their last five encounters, Inter has won once, Platense has not secured any victories, and there have been four draws. The expected goals for this match are 1.59 for Inter and 1.33 for Platense, indicating a competitive matchup.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Inter ↓ / Platense β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 7% 13% 8% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 7%

Inter and Platense expected goals

Inter 1.59
Platense 1.33

Total expected goals: 2.92

Inter and Platense attack and defence ratings

Inter

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Platense

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Before and after this match

Inter vs Platense markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Inter 42.4% 2.36 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.8% 1.79 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 59.6% 1.68 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.3% 1.37 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 57.6% 1.74 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Inter42.4%
Draw26.7%
Platense30.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.8%
Under 2.544.2%
Both teams to scoreYes59.6%
No40.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.2%
12 (either side)73.3%
X2 (draw or away)57.6%
Handicap -1Inter win22.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.3%
Loss57.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.6%
2-19.1%
1-27.6%

Inter vs Platense stats

Inter and Platense recent form

newest first
Inter WLDDLD
Platense WWWLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Inter and Platense season so far

league record

Inter record

  • They have won 5 of their 16 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 16 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 16 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Platense record

  • They have won 5 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 15 matches.

Inter vs Platense head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Inter wins 4Draws 0Platense wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-29PlatenseInterPrimera Division0-3
2026-04-01PlatenseInterPrimera Division0-0
2026-02-05InterPlatensePrimera Division0-0
2025-10-12PlatenseInterPrimera Division2-2
2025-08-09InterPlatensePrimera Division2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Inter vs Platense odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Inter Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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