Isidro Metapán
vs
Municipal Limeño
Garuda Lions Prediction: Isidro Metapán
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Isidro Metapán vs Municipal Limeño overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Isidro Metapán vs Municipal Limeño
| Probability | Isidro Metapán | Draw | Municipal Limeño |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.5% | 27.1% | 33.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 39.5% | 27.1% | 33.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Isidro Metapán
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Isidro Metapán vs Municipal Limeño match preview
Isidro Metapán enters the match against Municipal Limeño with a 40% probability of winning, while Municipal Limeño holds a 33% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Isidro Metapán, with a 9% likelihood. Both teams are expected to contribute to the score, as the model indicates a 59% chance that both will score, along with a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match.
In terms of recent form, Isidro Metapán has recorded two wins in their last five matches, while Municipal Limeño has struggled, with six matches resulting in only one win. The expected goals for Isidro Metapán stand at 1.52, compared to 1.38 for Municipal Limeño. Historically, the last ten encounters show a competitive balance, with Isidro Metapán winning three times, Municipal Limeño four times, and three matches ending in a draw.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Isidro Metapán and Municipal Limeño expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.89
Isidro Metapán and Municipal Limeño attack and defence ratings
Isidro Metapán
Municipal Limeño
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 18 fixtures
Before and after this match
Isidro Metapán vs Municipal Limeño markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Isidro Metapán | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Isidro Metapán | 39.5% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Municipal Limeño | 33.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.5% |
| No | 40.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Isidro Metapán win | 19.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 60.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 8.0% |
Isidro Metapán vs Municipal Limeño stats
Isidro Metapán and Municipal Limeño recent form
| Isidro Metapán |
LDWLWW |
| Municipal Limeño |
DWLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Isidro Metapán and Municipal Limeño season so far
Isidro Metapán record
- They have won 9 of their 16 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 16 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 16 matches.
Municipal Limeño record
- They have won 6 of their 16 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 16 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 16 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Isidro Metapán vs Municipal Limeño head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Municipal Limeño | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division | 3-1 |
| 2026-03-22 | Isidro Metapán | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 1-0 |
| 2026-01-25 | Municipal Limeño | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Isidro Metapán | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 3-2 |
| 2025-08-28 | Municipal Limeño | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-11 | Isidro Metapán | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-08 | Municipal Limeño | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-03-27 | Isidro Metapán | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2025-01-31 | Municipal Limeño | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2024-10-27 | Isidro Metapán | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.