Cacahuatique
vs
Inca Aruba
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cacahuatique
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Cacahuatique vs Inca Aruba overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cacahuatique vs Inca Aruba
| Probability | Cacahuatique | Draw | Inca Aruba |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.9% | 30.0% | 29.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 40.9% | 30.0% | 29.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Cacahuatique vs Inca Aruba match preview
Cacahuatique is set to face Inca Aruba in the Primera Division on October 31, 2026. According to our model, Cacahuatique has a 41% chance of winning, while the probabilities for a draw and an Inca Aruba victory stand at 30% and 29%, respectively. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Cacahuatique, with an 11% probability. Expected goals for Cacahuatique are 1.32, compared to 1.07 for Inca Aruba.
In terms of recent form, Cacahuatique has recorded two draws, a loss, and a win in their last six matches, while Inca Aruba has experienced three losses, a draw, and two more draws. The head-to-head record from their last encounter shows Cacahuatique with 0 wins and 1 draw against Inca Aruba, who also has not secured a win in this matchup. The confidence grade for this fixture is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cacahuatique and Inca Aruba expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.39
Cacahuatique and Inca Aruba attack and defence ratings
Cacahuatique
Inca Aruba
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 18 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cacahuatique vs Inca Aruba markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cacahuatique | 40.9% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cacahuatique | 40.9% |
| Draw | 30.0% | |
| Inca Aruba | 29.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.6% |
| No | 50.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cacahuatique win | 19.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 59.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 1-0 | 10.7% | |
| 0-0 | 10.4% |
Cacahuatique vs Inca Aruba stats
Cacahuatique and Inca Aruba recent form
| Cacahuatique |
DDLLWL |
| Inca Aruba |
LLLDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cacahuatique and Inca Aruba season so far
Cacahuatique record
- They have won 2 of their 16 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 16 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 16 matches.
Inca Aruba record
- They have won 4 of their 16 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 16 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 16 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Cacahuatique vs Inca Aruba head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Inca Aruba | Cacahuatique | Primera Division | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.