Alianza
vs
Isidro Metapán
Garuda Lions Prediction: Isidro Metapán
0 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Alianza vs Isidro Metapán overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Alianza vs Isidro Metapán
| Probability | Alianza | Draw | Isidro Metapán |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.0% | 28.9% | 36.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.0% | 28.9% | 36.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Isidro Metapán
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Alianza vs Isidro Metapán match preview
Alianza faces Isidro Metapán in a closely contested Primera Division match, with both teams showing competitive form. Alianza's recent results include three draws and two losses, while Isidro Metapán has secured three wins, a draw, and a loss in their last six matches. The model gives Alianza a 35% chance of winning, while Isidro Metapán is slightly favored at 36%.
The expected goals for this match are nearly identical, with Alianza at 1.29 and Isidro Metapán at 1.31. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1 in favor of Isidro Metapán, occurring with an 8% probability. Additionally, there is a 54% chance that both teams will score, and a 48% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Alianza and Isidro Metapán expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.60
Alianza and Isidro Metapán attack and defence ratings
Alianza
Isidro Metapán
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 17 fixtures
Before and after this match
Alianza vs Isidro Metapán markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Isidro Metapán | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alianza | 35.0% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Isidro Metapán | 36.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% |
| No | 45.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Isidro Metapán win | 16.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 63.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-0 | 8.7% | |
| 0-1 | 8.5% |
Alianza vs Isidro Metapán stats
Alianza and Isidro Metapán recent form
| Alianza |
DDLDWD |
| Isidro Metapán |
DWLWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Alianza and Isidro Metapán season so far
Alianza record
- They have won 4 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 14 matches.
Isidro Metapán record
- They have won 9 of their 15 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 15 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 15 matches.
Alianza vs Isidro Metapán head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Isidro Metapán | Alianza | Primera Division | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Isidro Metapán | Alianza | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Alianza | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-12 | Isidro Metapán | Alianza | Primera Division | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Alianza | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.