FAS
vs
Isidro Metapán
Garuda Lions Prediction: FAS
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
FAS vs Isidro Metapán overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FAS vs Isidro Metapán
| Probability | FAS | Draw | Isidro Metapán |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.8% | 27.5% | 19.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 52.8% | 27.5% | 19.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FAS
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 0.88.
Best available price on the pick: 2.09, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
FAS vs Isidro Metapán match preview
FAS enters this match with a 56% probability of winning, reflecting their strong recent form of four wins and two draws in their last six matches. The expected goals for FAS is 1.67, while Isidro Metapán's expected goals stand at 0.84, indicating a significant offensive advantage for FAS. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with a 12% probability.
Isidro Metapán, on the other hand, has a mixed recent performance, with three wins, two losses, and one draw in their last six fixtures. Their chances of winning are estimated at 18%, and both teams are projected to score at a rate of 47%. In the last ten head-to-head encounters, FAS has secured four wins compared to Isidro Metapán's three, with three matches ending in draws.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FAS and Isidro Metapán expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.47
FAS and Isidro Metapán attack and defence ratings
FAS
Isidro Metapán
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
FAS vs Isidro Metapán markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FAS | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | 2.09 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.3% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FAS | 52.8% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Isidro Metapán | 19.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.8% |
| No | 52.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | FAS win | 28.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 47.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 1-0 | 12.2% | |
| 2-0 | 10.7% |
FAS vs Isidro Metapán stats
FAS and Isidro Metapán recent form
| FAS |
WWDWWD |
| Isidro Metapán |
LWWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FAS and Isidro Metapán season so far
FAS record
- They have won 8 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
Isidro Metapán record
- They have won 8 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
FAS vs Isidro Metapán head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Isidro Metapán | FAS | Primera Division | 2-0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Isidro Metapán | FAS | Primera Division | 0-3 |
| 2026-01-18 | FAS | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-21 | Isidro Metapán | FAS | Primera Division | 2-3 |
| 2025-07-20 | FAS | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Isidro Metapán | FAS | Primera Division | 3-1 |
| 2025-02-16 | FAS | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2024-12-15 | Isidro Metapán | FAS | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2024-12-12 | FAS | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division | 2-1 |
| 2024-10-13 | Isidro Metapán | FAS | Primera Division | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FAS vs Isidro Metapán odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.1%, draw 30.1%, away 25.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.09 | 3.36 | 3.66 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 2.90 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.00 | 2.97 | 3.50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.02 | 2.65 | 4.55 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.00 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .