Primera Division · ·Apertura - 16

FAS vs Platense

Garuda Lions Prediction: FAS

1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability

FAS 56%
Draw 26%
Platense 18%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance FAS wins
56%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
92%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
50%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
11% of simulated outcomes

FAS vs Platense overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FAS vs Platense

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFASDrawPlatense
Model55.7%25.8%18.4%
Market———
Final55.7%25.8%18.4%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why FAS

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 0.91.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

FAS vs Platense match preview

FAS enters the match against Platense with a solid probability of winning at 56%, while Platense has an 18% chance of securing a victory. The model forecasts a most likely scoreline of 1-0, with an expected goals tally of 1.74 for FAS and 0.91 for Platense. Both teams have a 50% chance of scoring, suggesting a potentially competitive encounter.

In terms of recent form, FAS has performed well with three wins and two draws in their last five matches, while Platense has struggled, recording two wins, one draw, and two losses. The head-to-head record favors FAS, who have won three of the last five encounters, with Platense managing only one victory. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FAS ↓ / Platense → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 11% 12% 2 11% 10% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

FAS and Platense expected goals

FAS 1.74
Platense 0.91

Total expected goals: 2.65

FAS and Platense attack and defence ratings

FAS

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 0.68 -32%

Platense

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Apertura - 16 fixtures

Primera Division

Before and after this match

FAS vs Platense markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FAS 55.7% 1.79 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.6% 1.98 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.4% 1.98 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 81.6% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.3% 2.26 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FAS55.7%
Draw25.8%
Platense18.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.4%
Under 2.550.6%
Both teams to scoreYes50.4%
No49.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)81.6%
12 (either side)74.2%
X2 (draw or away)44.3%
Handicap -1FAS win31.9%
Push (exactly one goal)23.8%
Loss44.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.3%
1-011.2%
2-010.7%

FAS vs Platense stats

FAS and Platense recent form

newest first
FAS WWDWWD
Platense WWLDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FAS and Platense season so far

league record

FAS record

  • They have won 8 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 13 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).

Platense record

  • They have won 4 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.

FAS vs Platense head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3FAS wins 1Draws 1Platense wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-17PlatenseFASPrimera Division2-1
2026-05-01FASPlatensePrimera Division1-0
2026-03-08PlatenseFASPrimera Division2-3
2025-11-16FASPlatensePrimera Division4-1
2025-09-14PlatenseFASPrimera Division3-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FAS vs Platense odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 FAS Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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