Atletico Balboa
vs
Águila
Garuda Lions Prediction: Águila
0 – 2 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Atletico Balboa vs Águila overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Balboa vs Águila
| Probability | Atletico Balboa | Draw | Águila |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15.3% | 22.8% | 61.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 15.3% | 22.8% | 61.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Águila
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Atletico Balboa vs Águila match preview
Atletico Balboa faces Águila in their upcoming Primera Division match, with the model giving Atletico Balboa a 15% chance of winning, while Águila holds a 62% probability of victory. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-2, occurring with an 11% likelihood. Atletico Balboa has struggled recently, recording three losses and a draw in their last five matches, while Águila has shown stronger form with four wins in their last six outings.
The expected goals for Atletico Balboa stand at 0.91, compared to Águila's 2.00. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams are predicted to score with a 53% probability. The head-to-head record shows Atletico Balboa with one win against Águila, who has yet to secure a victory in their encounters.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atletico Balboa and Águila expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.91
Atletico Balboa and Águila attack and defence ratings
Atletico Balboa
Águila
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atletico Balboa vs Águila markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Águila | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Águila win | 38.5% | 2.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Balboa | 15.3% |
| Draw | 22.8% | |
| Águila | 61.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.7% |
| No | 47.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 38.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Águila win | 38.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 38.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 10.9% |
| 1-1 | 10.9% | |
| 1-2 | 9.9% |
Atletico Balboa vs Águila stats
Atletico Balboa and Águila recent form
| Atletico Balboa |
LLLDLW |
| Águila |
WWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atletico Balboa and Águila season so far
Atletico Balboa record
- They have won 3 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 14 matches.
Águila record
- They have won 5 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
Atletico Balboa vs Águila head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Águila | Atletico Balboa | Primera Division | 2-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.