Cacahuatique
vs
Alianza
Garuda Lions Prediction: Alianza
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Cacahuatique vs Alianza overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cacahuatique vs Alianza
| Probability | Cacahuatique | Draw | Alianza |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.0% | 24.9% | 52.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 23.0% | 24.9% | 52.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Alianza
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 1.17.
Cacahuatique vs Alianza match preview
Cacahuatique faces Alianza in their upcoming Primera Division match on October 17, 2026. According to our model, Cacahuatique has a 35% chance of winning, while Alianza holds a 38% probability. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2 in favor of Alianza, with a 9% likelihood. Both teams are expected to contribute to the score, with a 60% chance of both teams scoring and a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals.
In terms of recent form, Cacahuatique has recorded one win in their last six matches, while Alianza has shown more consistency with two wins in their last six. Historically, Alianza has dominated their encounters, winning five of the last seven meetings, with Cacahuatique yet to secure a victory. Expected goals for this match are 1.44 for Cacahuatique and 1.50 for Alianza, indicating a closely contested game.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cacahuatique and Alianza expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.01
Cacahuatique and Alianza attack and defence ratings
Cacahuatique
Alianza
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cacahuatique vs Alianza markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alianza | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cacahuatique | 23.0% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| Alianza | 52.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.0% |
| No | 41.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 48.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Alianza win | 30.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 48.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.4% |
Cacahuatique vs Alianza stats
Cacahuatique and Alianza recent form
| Cacahuatique |
LLWLDL |
| Alianza |
DLDWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cacahuatique and Alianza season so far
Cacahuatique record
- They have won 2 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 14 matches.
Alianza record
- They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
Cacahuatique vs Alianza head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Alianza | Cacahuatique | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Alianza | Cacahuatique | Primera Division | 2-1 |
| 2026-01-21 | Cacahuatique | Alianza | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-14 | Alianza | Cacahuatique | Primera Division | 3-0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Cacahuatique | Alianza | Primera Division | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-25 | Alianza | Cacahuatique | Primera Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-07-23 | Cacahuatique | Alianza | Primera Division | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.