Atletico Balboa
vs
FAS
0 – 1 Full time
| 74′ | E. Medrano |
Atletico Balboa vs FAS overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Balboa vs FAS
| Probability | Atletico Balboa | Draw | FAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 13.6% | 21.8% | 64.6% |
| Market | 19.0% | 24.3% | 56.7% |
| Final | 17.7% | 23.6% | 58.7% |
| Edge | -1.3% | -0.6% | +2.0% |
Why FAS
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 0.86.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atletico Balboa and FAS expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.94
Atletico Balboa and FAS attack and defence ratings
Atletico Balboa
FAS
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Atletico Balboa vs FAS: result vs prediction
Atletico Balboa 0 – 1 FAS
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atletico Balboa vs FAS markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FAS | 58.7% | 1.70 | +2.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.3% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FAS win | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Balboa | 17.7% |
| Draw | 23.6% | |
| FAS | 58.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% |
| No | 48.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 41.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | FAS win | 41.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 35.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 11.4% |
| 1-1 | 10.4% | |
| 0-1 | 10.0% |
Atletico Balboa vs FAS stats
Atletico Balboa and FAS recent form
| Atletico Balboa |
LLDLWL |
| FAS |
WDWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atletico Balboa and FAS going into this match
Atletico Balboa record
- They have won 3 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 14 matches.
FAS record
- They have won 8 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
Atletico Balboa vs FAS head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | FAS | Atletico Balboa | Primera Division | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Atletico Balboa vs FAS odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.0%, draw 24.3%, away 56.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.92 | 3.72 | 1.57 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 3.70 | 1.60 |
| BetVictor | 4.20 | 3.40 | 1.50 |
| Betano | 4.50 | 3.95 | 1.62 |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 3.90 | 1.57 |
| Dafabet | 4.70 | 4.00 | 1.62 |
| Marathonbet | 4.80 | 3.72 | 1.55 |
| Pinnacle | 4.84 | 3.88 | 1.59 |
| William Hill | 4.80 | 3.60 | 1.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .