Atletico Balboa
vs
FAS
Garuda Lions Prediction: FAS
0 – 2 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Atletico Balboa vs FAS overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Balboa vs FAS
| Probability | Atletico Balboa | Draw | FAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 13.7% | 21.9% | 64.4% |
| Market | 18.8% | 24.7% | 56.5% |
| Final | 17.5% | 24.0% | 58.5% |
| Edge | -5.1% | -2.8% | +7.9% |
Why FAS
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices FAS below the model: +7.9 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.67, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Atletico Balboa vs FAS match preview
Atletico Balboa faces FAS in the Primera Division, with kickoff set for October 11, 2026. The model indicates a strong likelihood of FAS winning, with a 63% probability compared to Atletico Balboa's 14%. The expected goals suggest a significant offensive advantage for FAS, projected at 2.02 compared to Atletico Balboa's 0.85. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, occurring at a rate of 12%.
Recent form highlights contrasting performances; Atletico Balboa has recorded two losses, one draw, one win, and two additional losses, while FAS has been more consistent with three wins, two draws, and one loss. The probability of over 2.5 goals is 55%, and both teams scoring stands at 51%. In their last encounter, Atletico Balboa has not secured a win against FAS, with one draw recorded.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atletico Balboa and FAS expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.95
Atletico Balboa and FAS attack and defence ratings
Atletico Balboa
FAS
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atletico Balboa vs FAS markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FAS | 58.5% | 1.71 | +7.9% | 1.67 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FAS win | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Balboa | 17.5% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| FAS | 58.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% |
| No | 48.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 41.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | FAS win | 41.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 35.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 11.4% |
| 1-1 | 10.4% | |
| 0-1 | 10.0% |
Atletico Balboa vs FAS stats
Atletico Balboa and FAS recent form
| Atletico Balboa |
LLDLWL |
| FAS |
WDWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atletico Balboa and FAS season so far
Atletico Balboa record
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 13 matches.
FAS record
- They have won 7 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
Atletico Balboa vs FAS head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | FAS | Atletico Balboa | Primera Division | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Atletico Balboa vs FAS odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.8%, draw 24.7%, away 56.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.07 | 3.64 | 1.57 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 3.70 | 1.57 |
| Betano | 4.70 | 3.55 | 1.67 |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 3.80 | 1.57 |
| Dafabet | 4.70 | 3.60 | 1.64 |
| Marathonbet | 4.95 | 3.64 | 1.55 |
| Pinnacle | 4.87 | 3.76 | 1.61 |
| William Hill | 4.80 | 3.50 | 1.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .