Municipal Limeño
vs
Firpo
2 – 3 Full time
| 17′ | R. Aguila | ||
| 32′ | L. S. Vasquez Velasquez | ||
| 45′ | J. C. Argueta | ||
| 49′ | J. C. Argueta | ||
| 56′ | E. D. Claros Lopez | ||
| 83′ | C. Gil |
Municipal Limeño vs Firpo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Municipal Limeño vs Firpo
| Probability | Municipal Limeño | Draw | Firpo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.2% | 24.6% | 59.3% |
| Market | 29.8% | 28.9% | 41.3% |
| Final | 26.4% | 27.8% | 45.8% |
| Edge | -3.4% | -1.1% | +4.5% |
Why Firpo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Firpo below our published probability: +4.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Municipal Limeño and Firpo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.70
Municipal Limeño and Firpo attack and defence ratings
Municipal Limeño
Firpo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Municipal Limeño vs Firpo: result vs prediction
Municipal Limeño 2 – 3 Firpo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Municipal Limeño vs Firpo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Firpo | 45.8% | 2.18 | +4.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.6% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Municipal Limeño | 26.4% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Firpo | 45.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.7% |
| No | 50.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Firpo win | 32.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 43.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 0-2 | 11.3% | |
| 0-1 | 11.3% |
Municipal Limeño vs Firpo stats
Municipal Limeño and Firpo recent form
| Municipal Limeño |
LLLLWD |
| Firpo |
DWWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Municipal Limeño and Firpo going into this match
Municipal Limeño record
- They have won 5 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Firpo record
- They have won 7 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 13 matches.
Municipal Limeño vs Firpo head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Firpo | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 2-0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Municipal Limeño | Firpo | Primera Division | 2-1 |
| 2026-01-18 | Firpo | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-22 | Firpo | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-20 | Municipal Limeño | Firpo | Primera Division | 1-3 |
| 2025-04-27 | Firpo | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 2-2 |
| 2025-03-02 | Municipal Limeño | Firpo | Primera Division | 1-4 |
| 2024-10-02 | Firpo | Municipal Limeño | Primera Division | 2-0 |
| 2024-09-13 | Municipal Limeño | Firpo | Primera Division | 2-3 |
| 2024-04-25 | Municipal Limeño | Firpo | Primera Division | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Municipal Limeño vs Firpo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.8%, draw 28.9%, away 41.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.08 | 3.10 | 2.17 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 2.75 | 2.90 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.25 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.15 |
| Dafabet | 3.15 | 3.15 | 2.25 |
| Marathonbet | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.15 |
| Pinnacle | 3.17 | 3.10 | 2.21 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 2.90 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .