Inca Aruba
vs
Platense
Garuda Lions Prediction: Inca Aruba
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Inca Aruba vs Platense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Inca Aruba vs Platense
| Probability | Inca Aruba | Draw | Platense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.8% | 31.1% | 32.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 36.8% | 31.1% | 32.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Inca Aruba
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Inca Aruba vs Platense match preview
Inca Aruba faces Platense in the Primera Division with a predicted outcome showing Inca Aruba at 37% to win, while Platense holds a 32% chance, and a draw is at 31%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Inca Aruba, with an 11% probability. The expected goals are 1.19 for Inca Aruba and 1.10 for Platense, indicating a closely contested match.
Recent form reveals Inca Aruba has recorded a D-W-D-W-L-W streak, while Platense has struggled with a W-L-D-L-L-L record. In their last encounter, Platense emerged victorious with 1 win against Inca Aruba, who has yet to secure a win in their head-to-head history. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Inca Aruba and Platense expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.29
Inca Aruba and Platense attack and defence ratings
Inca Aruba
Platense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Inca Aruba vs Platense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inca Aruba | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inca Aruba | 36.8% |
| Draw | 31.1% | |
| Platense | 32.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.7% |
| No | 52.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Inca Aruba win | 16.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 63.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 11.5% | |
| 1-0 | 10.8% |
Inca Aruba vs Platense stats
Inca Aruba and Platense recent form
| Inca Aruba |
DWDWLW |
| Platense |
WLDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Inca Aruba and Platense season so far
Inca Aruba record
- They have won 4 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Platense record
- They have won 4 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
Inca Aruba vs Platense head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Platense | Inca Aruba | Primera Division | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.