Primera Division
·
Full time
·Apertura - 15
Inca Aruba
vs
Platense
1 – 4 Full time
| 23′ | C. Bogota | ||
| 36′ | J. Urrutia | ||
| 44′ | N. Bello | ||
| 45′ | F. Martinez | ||
| 90′ | J. Roque |
Inca Aruba
37%
Draw
31%
Platense
32%
Inca Aruba vs Platense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Inca Aruba vs Platense
| Probability | Inca Aruba | Draw | Platense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.8% | 31.1% | 32.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 36.8% | 31.1% | 32.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Inca Aruba
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
68%
3+ goals
40%
No goals
11%
Inca Aruba and Platense expected goals
Inca Aruba
1.19
Platense
1.10
Total expected goals: 2.29
Inca Aruba and Platense attack and defence ratings
Inca Aruba
Attack
0.84 -16%
Defence
1.05 +5%
Platense
Attack
0.82 -18%
Defence
1.04 +4%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Inca Aruba vs Platense: result vs prediction
Inca Aruba 1 – 4 Platense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
Inca Aruba vs Platense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inca Aruba | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inca Aruba | 36.8% |
| Draw | 31.1% | |
| Platense | 32.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.7% |
| No | 52.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Inca Aruba win | 16.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 63.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 11.5% | |
| 1-0 | 10.8% |
Inca Aruba vs Platense stats
Inca Aruba and Platense recent form
| Inca Aruba |
DWDWLW |
| Platense |
WLDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Inca Aruba and Platense going into this match
Inca Aruba record
- They have won 4 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Platense record
- They have won 4 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
Inca Aruba vs Platense head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
0Inca Aruba wins
0Draws
1Platense wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Platense | Inca Aruba | Primera Division | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.