Alianza
vs
Platense
2 – 1 Full time
| 7′ | J. Barreto | ||
| 32′ | C. Bogota | ||
| 90′ | W. Parra |
Alianza vs Platense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Alianza vs Platense
| Probability | Alianza | Draw | Platense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.2% | 28.5% | 24.3% |
| Market | 52.6% | 26.1% | 21.3% |
| Final | 51.3% | 26.7% | 22.1% |
| Edge | -5.4% | +2.4% | +3.0% |
Why Alianza
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 1.01.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Alianza and Platense expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.50
Alianza and Platense attack and defence ratings
Alianza
Platense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Alianza vs Platense: result vs prediction
Alianza 2 – 1 Platense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Alianza vs Platense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alianza | 51.3% | 1.95 | -5.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alianza | 51.3% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| Platense | 22.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.5% |
| No | 49.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Alianza win | 24.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 52.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 1-0 | 11.0% | |
| 0-0 | 9.4% |
Alianza vs Platense stats
Alianza and Platense recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Alianza and Platense going into this match
Alianza record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
Platense record
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
Alianza vs Platense head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Platense | Alianza | Primera Division | 2-2 |
| 2026-03-29 | Alianza | Platense | Primera Division | 3-3 |
| 2026-02-01 | Platense | Alianza | Primera Division | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-05 | Alianza | Platense | Primera Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-03 | Platense | Alianza | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-27 | Alianza | Platense | Primera Division | 1-0 |
| 2025-01-30 | Platense | Alianza | Primera Division | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-30 | Alianza | Platense | Primera Division | 2-0 |
| 2024-09-22 | Platense | Alianza | Primera Division | 0-2 |
| 2024-04-21 | Platense | Alianza | Primera Division | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Alianza vs Platense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.6%, draw 26.1%, away 21.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.76 | 3.96 | 4.42 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 3.13 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 3.60 | 4.33 |
| Marathonbet | 1.68 | 3.34 | 4.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75 | 3.46 | 4.32 |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .