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Meistriliiga · Full time ·Matchday 22

Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka

3 – 2 Full time

11′M. Kukkonen
22′S. Zenjov
42′H. Pedmanson
46′T. LangL. Ounpuu
54′R. NeltsasT. Teevali
54′G. UggeriR. Silov
57′I. Antonov
66′R. Valdmets
67′M. HydaraG. Tuur
67′H. PedmansonKauan Pereira
72′S. Zenjov
73′I. AntonovM. Jekimov
73′D. KuraksinR. Alliku
75′J. Amijekori
78′R. ValdmetsD. Zotov
79′S. Tovstik
87′O. KangaslahtiR. Laabus
90′P. Veelma
90′S. Zenjov
90′L. Ounpuu

A. Le Coq Arena, TallinnReferee: J. Frischer

Flora Tallinn 50%
Draw 23%
Tammeka 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFlora TallinnDrawTammeka
Model26.8%28.1%45.1%
Market58.2%21.7%20.0%
Final50.3%23.3%26.3%
Edge-31.5%+6.4%+25.1%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Flora Tallinn ↓ / Tammeka → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 10% 8% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 9%

Flora Tallinn and Tammeka expected goals

Flora Tallinn 1.11
Tammeka 1.51

Total expected goals: 2.62

Flora Tallinn and Tammeka attack and defence ratings

Flora Tallinn

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Tammeka

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka: result vs prediction

Flora Tallinn 3 – 2 Tammeka

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 22 fixtures

Meistriliiga

Before and after this match

Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Flora Tallinn 50.3% 1.99 -31.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.3% 1.95 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.5% 1.87 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.7% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 73.2% 1.37 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Flora Tallinn50.3%
Draw23.3%
Tammeka26.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.7%
Under 2.551.3%
Both teams to scoreYes53.5%
No46.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.7%
12 (either side)76.7%
X2 (draw or away)49.7%
Handicap -1Flora Tallinn win10.9%
Push (exactly one goal)15.8%
Loss73.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.4%
0-19.8%
1-29.2%

Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka stats

Flora Tallinn and Tammeka recent form

newest first
Flora Tallinn LLWLLL
Tammeka WWWWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Flora Tallinn and Tammeka going into this match

league record before kick-off

Flora Tallinn record

  • They have won 16 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).

Tammeka record

  • They have won 13 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Flora Tallinn wins 0Draws 3Tammeka wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-26TammekaFlora TallinnMeistriliiga3-1
2026-04-03TammekaFlora TallinnMeistriliiga3-1
2025-09-20Flora TallinnTammekaMeistriliiga2-1
2025-07-20TammekaFlora TallinnMeistriliiga1-2
2025-05-30Flora TallinnTammekaMeistriliiga3-1
2025-04-08TammekaFlora TallinnMeistriliiga1-2
2025-02-08Flora TallinnTammekaFriendlies Clubs2-1
2024-09-21Flora TallinnTammekaMeistriliiga2-1
2024-07-19TammekaFlora TallinnMeistriliiga2-0
2024-06-19Flora TallinnTammekaMeistriliiga3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Flora Tallinn vs Tammeka odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 58.2%, draw 21.7%, away 20.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.57 4.20 4.40
1xBet 1.49 4.20 5.27
Bet365 1.53 4.20 4.50
BetVictor 1.45 3.75 4.10
Betano 1.60 4.00 4.25
Betfair 1.53 4.40 4.60
Dafabet 1.61 4.30 4.50
Marathonbet 1.51 4.15 4.85
Pinnacle 1.55 4.35 4.95
SBO 1.53 3.94 4.22
Superbet 1.64 4.00 4.25
Unibet 1.61 4.10 4.30
William Hill 1.55 3.80 4.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.55 ▲ +0.16
X 4.15 ▼ -0.57
2 4.50 ▼ -1.38

19 snapshots recorded, from .