Trans Narva
vs
Tammeka
0 – 2 Full time
| 42′ | G. Uggeri | ||
| 46′ | E. ZuravljovA. Ivanyushin | ||
| 59′ | R. LaabusThomas Lisboa | ||
| 59′ | R. SilovM. Sambe | ||
| 62′ | G. SleinS. Agaptsev | ||
| 62′ | T. LangPedro Manoel | ||
| 62′ | Kauan PereiraL. Ounpuu | ||
| 67′ | P. Veelma | ||
| 75′ | T. BerardozziA. Besigirskis | ||
| 80′ | G. UggeriM. Vaino |
Trans Narva vs Tammeka overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Trans Narva vs Tammeka
| Probability | Trans Narva | Draw | Tammeka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.0% | 29.0% | 49.0% |
| Market | 35.3% | 26.0% | 38.7% |
| Final | 32.0% | 26.8% | 41.2% |
| Edge | -13.3% | +3.0% | +10.4% |
Why Tammeka
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 0.90.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Tammeka below the model: +10.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Trans Narva and Tammeka expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.37
Trans Narva and Tammeka attack and defence ratings
Trans Narva
Tammeka
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Trans Narva vs Tammeka: result vs prediction
Trans Narva 0 – 2 Tammeka
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
Trans Narva vs Tammeka markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tammeka | 41.2% | 2.42 | +10.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Trans Narva | 32.0% |
| Draw | 26.8% | |
| Tammeka | 41.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.9% |
| No | 53.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tammeka win | 25.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.9% | |
| Loss | 50.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 0-1 | 12.5% | |
| 0-0 | 10.6% |
Trans Narva vs Tammeka stats
Trans Narva and Tammeka recent form
| Trans Narva |
LDLWWL |
| Tammeka |
WWWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Trans Narva and Tammeka going into this match
Trans Narva record
- They have won 5 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 27 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tammeka record
- They have won 13 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Trans Narva vs Tammeka head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Tammeka | Trans Narva | Meistriliiga | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Trans Narva | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 3-0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Tammeka | Trans Narva | Meistriliiga | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Trans Narva | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 4-1 |
| 2025-05-03 | Trans Narva | Tammeka | Meistriliiga | 4-0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Tammeka | Trans Narva | Meistriliiga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Trans Narva vs Tammeka odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.3%, draw 26.0%, away 38.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.55 | 3.46 | 2.33 |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 2.55 | 3.40 | 2.35 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.55 | 3.46 | 2.33 |
| Unibet | 2.55 | 3.50 | 2.38 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .