Kuressaare
vs
Trans Narva
3 – 1 Full time
| 2′ | J. Vahermagi | ||
| 40′ | S. Kondrattsev | ||
| 41′ | T. Jurisoo | ||
| 44′ | S. Sinilaid | ||
| 46′ | M. VelijevS. Agaptsev | ||
| 46′ | ElyseeA. Skinjov | ||
| 54′ | S. Prunn | ||
| 64′ | S. Agaptsev | ||
| 65′ | A. VisseA. Kivi | ||
| 65′ | A. FilatovE. Zuravljov | ||
| 65′ | G. SleinA. Besigirskis | ||
| 66′ | S. SinilaidA. Svedovski | ||
| 70′ | D. Andreas | ||
| 72′ | T. Jurisoo | ||
| 85′ | S. KondrattsevA. Ivanyushin | ||
| 89′ | E. Demidov |
Kuressaare vs Trans Narva overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kuressaare vs Trans Narva
| Probability | Kuressaare | Draw | Trans Narva |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.0% | 25.9% | 15.1% |
| Market | 31.2% | 27.8% | 41.0% |
| Final | 38.1% | 27.3% | 34.5% |
| Edge | +27.9% | -2.0% | -25.9% |
Why Kuressaare
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 0.75.
- The market prices Kuressaare below the model: +27.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kuressaare and Trans Narva expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.45
Kuressaare and Trans Narva attack and defence ratings
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kuressaare vs Trans Narva: result vs prediction
Kuressaare 3 – 1 Trans Narva
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kuressaare vs Trans Narva markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kuressaare | 38.1% | 2.62 | +27.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kuressaare | 38.1% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Trans Narva | 34.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.3% |
| No | 55.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kuressaare win | 33.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.1% | |
| Loss | 41.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.5% |
| 2-0 | 12.5% | |
| 1-1 | 12.1% |
Kuressaare vs Trans Narva stats
Kuressaare and Trans Narva recent form
| Kuressaare |
DLWWLD |
| Trans Narva |
LLDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kuressaare and Trans Narva going into this match
Kuressaare record
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Trans Narva record
- They have won 5 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 27 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kuressaare vs Trans Narva head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | Kuressaare | Trans Narva | Meistriliiga | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Trans Narva | Kuressaare | Meistriliiga | 1-2 |
| 2026-02-21 | Kuressaare | Trans Narva | Friendlies Clubs | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-20 | Kuressaare | Trans Narva | Meistriliiga | 0-0 |
| 2025-07-05 | Trans Narva | Kuressaare | Meistriliiga | 3-2 |
| 2025-04-27 | Kuressaare | Trans Narva | Meistriliiga | 2-1 |
| 2025-03-08 | Trans Narva | Kuressaare | Meistriliiga | 0-2 |
| 2025-02-08 | Trans Narva | Kuressaare | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-09 | Trans Narva | Kuressaare | Meistriliiga | 0-2 |
| 2024-08-24 | Kuressaare | Trans Narva | Meistriliiga | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kuressaare vs Trans Narva odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.7%, draw 26.9%, away 39.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.95 | 3.24 | 2.22 |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.00 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 2.52 | 3.25 | 2.47 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.45 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 3.35 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.89 | 3.24 | 2.20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.96 | 3.37 | 2.25 |
| Superbet | 2.57 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
| Unibet | 2.43 | 3.30 | 2.60 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .