Meistriliiga
·
Full time
·Matchday 27
FC Levadia Tallinn
vs
Kuressaare
4 – 0 Full time
| 6′ | M. Skvortsov | ||
| 24′ | H. LiivJ. Saliste | ||
| 40′ | G. Lehtmets | ||
| 57′ | R. Kirss | ||
| 58′ | R. KirssN. Kutateladze | ||
| 58′ | G. LehtmetsWendell | ||
| 62′ | G. RoivasseppS. Prunn | ||
| 62′ | R. TarkmeelE. Demidov | ||
| 66′ | F. Liivak | ||
| 72′ | A. VisseT. Jurisoo | ||
| 72′ | M. AinsaluG. Reis | ||
| 72′ | M. SkvortsovJoao Pedro | ||
| 81′ | E. Otoo | ||
| 88′ | G. Reis |
FC Levadia Tallinn
80%
Draw
13%
Kuressaare
7%
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Kuressaare overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Levadia Tallinn vs Kuressaare
| Probability | FC Levadia Tallinn | Draw | Kuressaare |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73.1% | 16.9% | 9.9% |
| Market | 81.8% | 12.2% | 6.1% |
| Final | 79.6% | 13.4% | 7.0% |
| Edge | -8.6% | +4.8% | +3.9% |
Why FC Levadia Tallinn
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.58 vs 0.89.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
87%
3+ goals
67%
No goals
4%
FC Levadia Tallinn and Kuressaare expected goals
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.58
Kuressaare
0.89
Total expected goals: 3.47
FC Levadia Tallinn and Kuressaare attack and defence ratings
FC Levadia Tallinn
Attack
1.56 +56%
Defence
0.67 -33%
Kuressaare
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
0.95 -5%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Kuressaare: result vs prediction
FC Levadia Tallinn 4 – 0 Kuressaare
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Kuressaare markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 79.6% | 1.26 | -8.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Levadia Tallinn win | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 79.6% |
| Draw | 13.4% | |
| Kuressaare | 7.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.1% |
| No | 44.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 20.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Levadia Tallinn win | 52.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 26.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 3-0 | 8.9% |
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Kuressaare stats
FC Levadia Tallinn and Kuressaare recent form
| FC Levadia Tallinn |
WWWWWD |
| Kuressaare |
WDLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Levadia Tallinn and Kuressaare going into this match
FC Levadia Tallinn record
- They have won 19 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 10 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Kuressaare record
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Kuressaare head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
9FC Levadia Tallinn wins
1Draws
0Kuressaare wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Kuressaare | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 1-2 |
| 2026-03-08 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Kuressaare | Meistriliiga | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Kuressaare | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 0-3 |
| 2025-08-01 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Kuressaare | Meistriliiga | 2-0 |
| 2025-06-14 | Kuressaare | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-08 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Kuressaare | Meistriliiga | 2-1 |
| 2024-09-17 | Kuressaare | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 0-1 |
| 2024-07-21 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Kuressaare | Meistriliiga | 0-0 |
| 2024-06-01 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Kuressaare | Meistriliiga | 2-0 |
| 2024-03-09 | Kuressaare | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga | 0-6 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Kuressaare odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 81.8%, draw 12.2%, away 6.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.11 | 7.20 | 17.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.09 | 8.20 | 14.70 |
| 888Sport | 1.13 | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.14 | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.07 | 5.75 | 10.50 |
| Betano | 1.14 | 6.50 | 12.00 |
| Betfair | 1.08 | 8.50 | 15.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.12 | 7.80 | 16.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.09 | 8.20 | 14.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.16 | 6.26 | 20.40 |
| SBO | 1.10 | 6.57 | 10.12 |
| Superbet | 1.11 | 7.70 | 15.00 |
| Unibet | 1.09 | 8.00 | 16.00 |
| William Hill | 1.12 | 7.00 | 17.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.11 ▲ +0.01
X
7.45 ▼ -0.15
2
15.00 ▼ -1.00
9 snapshots recorded, from .