Vaprus
vs
Laagri
3 – 2 Full time
| 26′ | R. Orm | ||
| 27′ | S. ViidasK. Kauber | ||
| 42′ | J. Sild | ||
| 46′ | K. RoomussaarM. Kelement | ||
| 51′ | M. Seck | ||
| 57′ | K. Kriis | ||
| 64′ | I. BahH. Palutaja | ||
| 64′ | A. BinateS. Kerge | ||
| 71′ | Y. E. AssaleK. Laur | ||
| 77′ | K. Kauber | ||
| 78′ | S. Kerge | ||
| 79′ | K. KriisK. Ennuste | ||
| 80′ | K. Laur | ||
| 80′ | R. OrmU. Nomm | ||
| 81′ | S. Kerge | ||
| 84′ | O. Nomm |
Vaprus vs Laagri overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vaprus vs Laagri
| Probability | Vaprus | Draw | Laagri |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.9% | 26.5% | 30.7% |
| Market | 40.0% | 25.4% | 34.6% |
| Final | 40.7% | 25.6% | 33.7% |
| Edge | +2.9% | +1.1% | -4.0% |
Why Vaprus
- The market prices Vaprus below the model: +2.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vaprus and Laagri expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.96
Vaprus and Laagri attack and defence ratings
Vaprus
Laagri
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Vaprus vs Laagri: result vs prediction
Vaprus 3 – 2 Laagri
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vaprus vs Laagri markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vaprus | 40.7% | 2.46 | +2.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vaprus | 40.7% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Laagri | 33.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.4% |
| No | 39.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vaprus win | 22.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 57.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-2 | 7.5% |
Vaprus vs Laagri stats
Vaprus and Laagri recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vaprus and Laagri going into this match
Vaprus record
- They have won 9 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Laagri record
- They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vaprus vs Laagri head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Laagri | Vaprus | Meistriliiga | 1-2 |
| 2026-04-04 | Vaprus | Laagri | Meistriliiga | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Laagri | Vaprus | Meistriliiga | 1-2 |
| 2025-07-25 | Vaprus | Laagri | Meistriliiga | 2-2 |
| 2025-04-26 | Laagri | Vaprus | Meistriliiga | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-05 | Vaprus | Laagri | Meistriliiga | 1-1 |
| 2023-10-27 | Vaprus | Laagri | Meistriliiga | 0-0 |
| 2023-09-02 | Laagri | Vaprus | Meistriliiga | 0-4 |
| 2023-05-28 | Vaprus | Laagri | Meistriliiga | 0-1 |
| 2023-04-28 | Laagri | Vaprus | Meistriliiga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vaprus vs Laagri odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.0%, draw 25.4%, away 34.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.55 |
| 1xBet | 2.24 | 3.58 | 2.67 |
| 888Sport | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.63 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.20 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.45 | 2.65 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.28 | 3.65 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.22 | 3.58 | 2.62 |
| Pinnacle | 2.28 | 3.65 | 2.73 |
| SBO | 2.23 | 3.19 | 2.45 |
| Superbet | 2.27 | 3.55 | 2.70 |
| Unibet | 2.25 | 3.60 | 2.55 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .