Paide
vs
Laagri
1 – 2 Full time
| 9′ | M. Kelement | ||
| 35′ | M. Seck | ||
| 41′ | A. Kaevats | ||
| 43′ | K. Roomussaar | ||
| 46′ | A. KaevatsS. Suppi | ||
| 46′ | K. EermeR. Reimaa | ||
| 46′ | Daniel CabralM. Miller | ||
| 53′ | H. Anier | ||
| 57′ | Andrade | ||
| 57′ | M. KesaI. Bah | ||
| 67′ | S. Suppi | ||
| 67′ | M. SeckK. Laur | ||
| 69′ | M. Miller | ||
| 70′ | M. Kelement | ||
| 72′ | AndradeE. Tur | ||
| 72′ | D. LutsM. Jobarteh | ||
| 75′ | Y. E. AssaleRudenko Daniil | ||
| 75′ | Rudenko Daniil | ||
| 81′ | J. PalaciosD. Darboe | ||
| 84′ | I. Bah | ||
| 86′ | H. Anier | ||
| 90′ | A. Binate | ||
| 90′ | O. Hoim |
Paide vs Laagri overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Paide vs Laagri
| Probability | Paide | Draw | Laagri |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.9% | 25.4% | 23.7% |
| Market | 56.8% | 22.6% | 20.6% |
| Final | 55.3% | 23.3% | 21.4% |
| Edge | -5.9% | +2.8% | +3.1% |
Why Paide
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.16.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Paide and Laagri expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.95
Paide and Laagri attack and defence ratings
Paide
Laagri
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Paide vs Laagri: result vs prediction
Paide 1 – 2 Laagri
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
Paide vs Laagri markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Paide | 55.3% | 1.81 | -5.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Paide | 55.3% |
| Draw | 23.3% | |
| Laagri | 21.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.3% |
| No | 41.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Paide win | 28.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 49.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 8.4% |
Paide vs Laagri stats
Paide and Laagri recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Paide and Laagri going into this match
Paide record
- They have won 13 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Laagri record
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Paide vs Laagri head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Laagri | Paide | Meistriliiga | 5-2 |
| 2026-06-17 | Paide | Laagri | Meistriliiga | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Laagri | Paide | Meistriliiga | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-20 | Laagri | Paide | Meistriliiga | 3-0 |
| 2025-08-03 | Paide | Laagri | Meistriliiga | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-17 | Paide | Laagri | Meistriliiga | 2-2 |
| 2025-04-12 | Laagri | Paide | Meistriliiga | 1-2 |
| 2023-10-08 | Paide | Laagri | Meistriliiga | 4-0 |
| 2023-08-06 | Laagri | Paide | Meistriliiga | 0-1 |
| 2023-06-11 | Laagri | Paide | Meistriliiga | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Paide vs Laagri odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.0%, draw 22.7%, away 20.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.57 | 3.94 | 4.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 3.75 | 4.30 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| Marathonbet | 1.55 | 3.94 | 4.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62 | 4.01 | 4.69 |
| SBO | 1.56 | 3.63 | 4.02 |
| Unibet | 1.53 | 4.30 | 4.70 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.70 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .